Sport Picks
Al Ittihad vs Damac
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah 
Match Events
24'
24'
Aouar H.
Assist: Diaby M.
60'
60'
Sub
Naji Y. In: Meite Y.
Out: Naji Y.
62'
62'
Sub
En Nesyri Y. In: Al Shehri S.
Out: En Nesyri Y.
AI Match Summary
The Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 game between Al Ittihad and Damac finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ittihad.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
35%
23%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Ittihad
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Damac haven't matched Al Ittihad's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Al Ittihad's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Al Ittihad Clean Sheet 20%
Damac Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Ittihad | Damac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Ittihad vs Damac
2:1
Jan 13, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Damac vs Al Ittihad
1:1
May 26, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Ittihad vs Damac
1:0
Jan 27, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Damac vs Al Ittihad
2:1
May 23, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Ittihad vs Damac
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Ittihad Compare
Top Goalscorer Aouar H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Al Bishi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Damac Compare
Top Goalscorer Meite Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.54
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Ittihad 67 / 100
Damac 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Ittihad Damac
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Ittihad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Al Ittihad scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.
Al Ittihad has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Damac has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Scoring Trends
Al Ittihad VS Damac
2.25 Goals Scored 0.57
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 43%
75% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Ittihad
(Home) 14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1 Al Ittihad
11 Sept
Al-Faisaly
1 : 3 Al Ittihad
08 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Fayha
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Nassr
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0 Al Ittihad
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Fayha
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Nassr
24 Aug
Al Ittihad
3 : 2 Al Hazem Rass
15 Aug
Al Ittihad
1 : 1 Al Kholood
21 May
Al Ittihad
1 : 5 Al Qadsiah
Page 1 of 3
Damac
(Away) 14 Sept
Al Bukiryah
1 : 2 Damac
08 Sept
Damac
0 : 1 Al-Ula
02 Sept
Al Wehda
2 : 2 Damac
28 Aug
Damac
0 : 0 Al Orubah
23 Aug
Al Saqer
0 : 0 Damac
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Al Bukiryah
1 : 2 Damac
02 Sept
Al Wehda
2 : 2 Damac
23 Aug
Al Saqer
0 : 0 Damac
21 May
Al Nassr
4 : 1 Damac
10 May
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Damac
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nassr | 34 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 91:28 | 86 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 34 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 85:27 | 84 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 71:25 | 81 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 83:34 | 77 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55:48 | 55 |
| 6 | Al Taawon | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 59:46 | 53 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq FC | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 9 | Al Hazem Rass | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:57 | 42 |
| 10 | Al Fayha | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41:54 | 38 |
| 11 | Al Fateh | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 41:55 | 37 |
| 12 | Al Khaleej | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 54:62 | 37 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 44:57 | 35 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 39:61 | 33 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 35:63 | 30 |
| 16 | Damac | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 32:55 | 29 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 27:70 | 20 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 32:76 | 16 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)
