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Al Ittihad vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
06:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Ittihad host Shabab Al Ahli Dubai in the AFC Champions League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Al Ittihad have averaged 2.07 scored and 1.39 conceded recently, against Shabab Al Ahli Dubai's 2 scored and 1.3 conceded. Head-to-head, Al Ittihad have won 0 to Shabab Al Ahli Dubai's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 30, 2025, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.44 - 1.06) back Al Ittihad to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Al Ittihad
35%
Draws
29%
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Ittihad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Shabab Al Ahli Dubai haven't matched Al Ittihad's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Al Ittihad Clean Sheet 20%
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ittihad Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 5 8
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.07 2
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2025 AFC Champions League
Al Ittihad vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
0:1
Jan 28, 2024 Club Friendly
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Ittihad
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ittihad 31 / 100
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ittihad Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ittihad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ittihad found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Al Ittihad remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Al Ittihad VS Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ittihad

(Home)
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
11 Sept
Al Faisaly
1 : 3
Al Ittihad
08 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Fayha
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Nassr
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0
Al Ittihad
Page 1 of 6

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

(Away)
08 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
2 : 1
United FC
02 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 : 1
Al Nasr
19 Sept
Hatta
2 : 2
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
14 Sept
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 : 0
Tractor
10 Sept
United FC
1 : 1
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 1 1 0 0 7:1 3
2 Gamba Osaka 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Shanghai Port 1 1 0 0 6:4 3
4 Beijing Guoan 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
5 Vissel Kobe 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Jeonbuk 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 Daejeon 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Buriram United F.C. 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Johor DT 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Kashiwa Reysol 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
11 Port MTI FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Kyoto 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Ratchaburi 1 0 0 1 4:6 0
14 Pohang 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
15 Cong An Ha Noi 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
16 Newcastle Jets 1 0 0 1 1:7 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Esteghlal TEH 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Al Hilal 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Al Qadsiah 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Neftchi Fargona 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Pakhtakor 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Al Ittihad 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Al Ahli SC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Shamal 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Al Gharafa 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Al Wasl 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Tractor 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Al Sadd 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
16 Al Nassr 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)