Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Jaish vs Damascus Al-Ahli

Syria Syria

Premier League Abbasiyyin Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Al Waked M.

AI Match Summary

Al Jaish in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Jaish.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Al Jaish
11%
Draws
80%
Damascus Al-Ahli
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Damascus Al-Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Damascus Al-Ahli lately — more wins on the board than Al Jaish.
  • Model gives Damascus Al-Ahli a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Jaish have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Al Jaish Clean Sheet 20%
Damascus Al-Ahli Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Jaish Damascus Al-Ahli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 11 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 Premier League
Damascus Al-Ahli vs Al Jaish
0:1
Mar 10, 2026 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Damascus Al-Ahli
1:0
Apr 2, 2023 Premier League
Damascus Al-Ahli vs Al Jaish
1:4
Sep 10, 2022 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Damascus Al-Ahli
2:1
Mar 6, 2019 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Damascus Al-Ahli
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Jaish Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Waked M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Damascus Al-Ahli Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Jaish 12 / 100
Damascus Al-Ahli 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Jaish Damascus Al-Ahli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Damascus Al-Ahli let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Al Jaish stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Al Jaish scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Jaish VS Damascus Al-Ahli
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Ittihad Aleppo30227183:2573
2Homs Al Fidaa30226255:1272
3Al Wahda30195653:2462
4Al Karamah30177655:3058
5Al Taliya301211732:2447
6Hottin301361133:3745
7Tishreen301111842:3444
8Al Jaish301011923:3041
9Damascus Al-Ahli301161337:4439
10Horriya301051530:3435
11Al Shorta30891329:4733
12Foutoua30931836:5330
13Umayya30591627:4424
14Khan Shaykhun30651926:5323
15Jableh30642027:6022
16Al-Shouleh30452114:5117