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Al Jazira vs Dibba Al Fujairah

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Mohammed Bin Zayed Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Jazira play Dibba Al Fujairah in the UAE League 2025/2026. Al Jazira are favorites here. Recently, Al Jazira averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Dibba Al Fujairah averaged 0.93 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. In past meetings, Al Jazira won 5, Dibba Al Fujairah won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Al Jazira and 1.38 for Dibba Al Fujairah. This points to a Al Jazira double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Al Jazira
15%
Draws
21%
Dibba Al Fujairah
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Jazira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Jazira picked up more points recently compared to Dibba Al Fujairah.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Al Jazira Clean Sheet 17%
Dibba Al Fujairah Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Jazira Dibba Al Fujairah
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.6 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 UAE League
Al Jazira vs Dibba Al Fujairah
4:3
Oct 18, 2025 UAE League
Dibba Al Fujairah vs Al Jazira
0:1
Jan 28, 2023 UAE League
Dibba Al Fujairah vs Al Jazira
0:1
Nov 25, 2022 League Cup
Al Jazira vs Dibba Al Fujairah
3:1
Oct 11, 2022 League Cup
Dibba Al Fujairah vs Al Jazira
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Jazira Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Mello
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rabii M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Dibba Al Fujairah Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlinhos
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andrigo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Jazira 61 / 100
Dibba Al Fujairah 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Jazira Dibba Al Fujairah

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Jazira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Al Jazira & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.6%
1.79
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Jazira attacking → ← attacking Dibba Al Fujairah

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Jazira scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Dibba Al Fujairah let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Al Jazira went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Dibba Al Fujairah lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 23
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Ain26215062:1868
2Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai26177260:1858
3Al Wasl26146639:2948
4Al Jazira26135846:3044
5Al Wahda261010638:2640
6Al Nasr26911636:3438
7Ajman26951227:3432
8Al Sharjah26851335:4729
9Khorfakkan26691135:4527
10Bani Yas26761329:4327
11Ittihad Kalba26591229:4524
12Al Dhafra26641628:5222
13Al Bataeh26491324:3721
14Dibba Al Fujairah26551625:5520