Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Jeel vs Al Najma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1
Mon, Nov 2, 2026
VS
02:40 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Jeel host Al Najma in the Division 1. This one's hard to separate. Al Jeel have averaged 1.04 scored and 1.15 conceded recently, against Al Najma's 1.07 scored and 1.96 conceded. Past meetings favor Al Jeel slightly — 2-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2013, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.23 xG vs 1.06) point toward Al Jeel. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Al Jeel
35%
Draws
53%
Al Najma
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Najma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Jeel lately — more wins on the board than Al Najma.
  • Model gives Al Najma a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Al Jeel Clean Sheet 20%
Al Najma Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Jeel Al Najma
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 11 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.04 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2013 Division 1
Al Jeel vs Al Najma
0:0
Oct 10, 2012 Division 1
Al Najma vs Al Jeel
0:1
Apr 25, 2011 Division 1
Al Jeel vs Al Najma
2:2
Dec 31, 2010 Division 1
Al Najma vs Al Jeel
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Jeel 24 / 100
Al Najma 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Jeel Al Najma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Najma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Najma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Al Jeel's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Al Jeel has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Jeel VS Al Najma
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
25% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Jeel

(Home)
20 Sept
Al Jeel
0 : 0
Hajer
15 Sept
Al Orubah
1 : 0
Al Jeel
09 Sept
Al Raed
3 : 0
Al Jeel
01 Sept
Al Jeel
0 : 0
Jeddah Club
27 Aug
Al Jabalain
1 : 0
Al Jeel
Page 1 of 6

Al Najma

(Away)
20 Oct
Hajer
2 : 4
Al Najma
12 Oct
Al Najma
3 : 0
Damac
19 Sept
Al Anwar
1 : 1
Al Najma
14 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1
Al Raed
07 Sept
Al Okhdood
2 : 2
Al Najma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ula 7 6 1 0 16:3 19
2 Al Jabalain 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
3 Al Zulfi 8 3 5 0 10:2 14
4 Al Najma 8 3 4 1 14:9 13
5 Al Wehda 8 2 6 0 16:9 12
6 Al Adalah 8 3 3 2 13:11 12
7 Damac 8 3 3 2 11:10 12
8 Al Anwar 8 2 5 1 7:5 11
9 Al Saqer 8 2 4 2 7:6 10
10 Al Raed 8 3 1 4 8:12 10
11 Al Taee 8 3 1 4 11:19 10
12 Al Orubah 7 1 5 1 5:5 8
13 Jeddah Club 8 2 2 4 6:9 8
14 Al Okhdood 8 1 4 3 10:16 7
15 Al Jandal 7 1 3 3 10:10 6
16 Hajer 7 1 3 3 6:11 6
17 Al Bukiryah 8 0 3 5 5:14 3
18 Al Jeel 6 0 2 4 0:7 2
Promotion - Saudi Professional League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)