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Al Kahraba vs Al Diwaniya

Iraq Iraq

Super League 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Kahraba play Al Diwaniya in the Super League 2022/2023. Al Kahraba are favorites here. Recently, Al Kahraba averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. Al Diwaniya averaged 0.73 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, Al Kahraba won 4, Al Diwaniya won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 15, 2023 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Al Kahraba and 1.06 for Al Diwaniya. This points to a Al Kahraba double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Al Kahraba
15%
Draws
15%
Al Diwaniya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Kahraba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Kahraba picked up more points recently compared to Al Diwaniya.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Al Kahraba Clean Sheet 22%
Al Diwaniya Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Kahraba Al Diwaniya
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 2
Draws 3 5
Losses 16 23
Goals Scored 1.39 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.35 2.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2023 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Diwaniya
5:0
Feb 23, 2023 Stars League
Al Diwaniya vs Al Kahraba
0:2
Feb 24, 2022 Stars League
Al Diwaniya vs Al Kahraba
1:1
Oct 16, 2021 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Diwaniya
2:0
Apr 27, 2021 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Diwaniya
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Kahraba Compare

Top Goalscorer Salim M.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Saadon M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Al Diwaniya Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Kahraba 67 / 100
Al Diwaniya 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Kahraba Al Diwaniya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Kahraba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Al Kahraba & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.7%
1.61
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Kahraba attacking → ← attacking Al Diwaniya

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Kahraba scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Al Diwaniya let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Al Kahraba went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Al Diwaniya lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 11
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Shorta38257663:2482
2Al Quwa Al Jawiya38239662:2678
3Al Zawraa381814650:3268
4Al Talaba381991052:3966
5Al Kahraba3817111051:3862
6Erbil3816101244:3958
7Al Najaf3815111246:4156
8Karbala3815111239:3456
9Duhok3812161037:3952
10Al Karkh3813121340:3651
11Newroz381491545:4351
12Naft Missan3813121342:5451
13Al-Hudod381019940:3749
14Naft Al-Basra389161334:4043
15Zakho389151439:4242
16Al Naft389131639:5040
17Al-Qassim389121731:4339
18Al Wasat385211226:3436
19Al Sinaa38772426:5428
20Al Diwaniya38263025:8612