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Al Kahraba vs Al Minaa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Samia Y.
Assist: Dawood Yaseen M.
87' Event
Heder S.
Own Goal
90' Event
Najm H.

AI Match Summary

Al Kahraba in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Kahraba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Al Kahraba
35%
Draws
19%
Al Minaa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Kahraba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Kahraba lately — more wins on the board than Al Minaa.
  • Model gives Al Kahraba a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Kahraba have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Al Kahraba Clean Sheet 68%
Al Minaa Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Kahraba Al Minaa
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 8 7
Draws 6 10
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.3 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Minaa
2:1
Apr 9, 2026 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Minaa
2:0
Jan 5, 2026 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Al Kahraba
1:2
Apr 27, 2025 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Al Kahraba
0:2
Jan 30, 2025 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Minaa
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Kahraba Compare

Top Goalscorer Najm H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Al Minaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Samia Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Kahraba 50 / 100
Al Minaa 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Kahraba Al Minaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Kahraba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Kahraba's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Al Minaa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Al Kahraba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Kahraba VS Al Minaa
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Kahraba

(Home)
19 Sept
Al Shorta
2 : 0
Al Kahraba
13 Sept
Al Kahraba
2 : 1
Al Minaa
07 Sept
Al Zawraa
1 : 0
Al Kahraba
03 Sept
Al Kahraba
0 : 0
Al Gharraf
29 Aug
Al Karkh
2 : 2
Al Kahraba
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Al Minaa

(Away)
18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Duhok
13 Sept
Al Kahraba
2 : 1
Al Minaa
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Naft Missan
05 Sept
Al Minaa
0 : 3
Al Naft
31 Aug
Erbil
2 : 0
Al Minaa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Al Zawraa 9 5 3 1 15:6 18
3 Erbil 9 5 3 1 13:4 18
4 Al Shorta 9 4 4 1 9:4 16
5 Newroz 8 4 3 1 13:4 15
6 Al Naft 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
7 Duhok 9 2 6 1 14:11 12
8 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 9 2 5 2 14:12 11
9 Al Golan 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
10 Diyala 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
11 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
12 Zakho 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Talaba 9 1 5 3 9:14 8
15 Naft Missan 9 1 5 3 7:12 8
16 Al Mosul 9 2 2 5 9:15 8
17 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
18 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
19 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)