Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Kahraba vs Al Talaba

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Aribi K.
48' Event
Nihad M.
52' Event
Saad K.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Al Kahraba and Al Talaba finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Talaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Al Kahraba
39%
Draws
31%
Al Talaba
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Talaba come out ahead of Al Kahraba on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Al Talaba here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Al Kahraba Clean Sheet 68%
Al Talaba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Kahraba Al Talaba
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 3 9
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2026 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Talaba
1:2
Jan 10, 2026 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Kahraba
2:0
Apr 17, 2025 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Kahraba
1:0
Jan 20, 2025 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Talaba
1:2
Jun 26, 2024 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Talaba
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Kahraba Compare

Top Goalscorer Nihad M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Al Talaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Aribi K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saad K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Kahraba 41 / 100
Al Talaba 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Kahraba Al Talaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Kahraba scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Al Talaba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Al Kahraba remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Kahraba VS Al Talaba
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Kahraba

(Home)
02 Jun
Al Kahraba
0 : 3
Al-Karma
27 May
Duhok
1 : 2
Al Kahraba
19 May
Al Kahraba
2 : 2
Al Gharraf
15 May
Baghdad
0 : 1
Al Kahraba
11 May
Al Kahraba
2 : 1
Newroz
Page 1 of 6

Al Talaba

(Away)
01 Jun
Al Talaba
1 : 1
Al Karkh
28 May
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Al Talaba
19 May
Al Talaba
1 : 1
Al-Karma
15 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Talaba
11 May
Al Mosul
2 : 2
Al Talaba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)