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Al Kahraba vs Naft Missan

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Kahraba play Naft Missan in the Stars League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Kahraba averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. Naft Missan averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Al Kahraba won 2, Naft Missan won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 17, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Al Kahraba and 1.94 for Naft Missan. This points to a Naft Missan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Al Kahraba
19%
Draws
42%
Naft Missan
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Naft Missan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Kahraba picked up more points recently compared to Naft Missan.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Al Kahraba Clean Sheet 10%
Naft Missan Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Kahraba Naft Missan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 3 8
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Naft Missan
1:3
Feb 1, 2026 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Al Kahraba
0:2
Apr 4, 2025 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Al Kahraba
2:0
Nov 3, 2024 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Naft Missan
1:0
Apr 21, 2024 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Al Kahraba
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Kahraba Compare

Top Goalscorer Kudhair Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Naft Missan Compare

Top Goalscorer Saad A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sioud N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Kahraba 37 / 100
Naft Missan 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Kahraba Naft Missan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Naft Missan or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Kahraba attacking → ← attacking Naft Missan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Kahraba scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Naft Missan let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Al Kahraba went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Naft Missan lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 38
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966