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Al Karkh vs Al Gharraf - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Karkh host Al Gharraf in the Stars League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Al Karkh at 1.21 goals for, 1.34 against; Al Gharraf at 0.83 for, 1.34 against. Head-to-head, Al Karkh have won 1 to Al Gharraf's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 15, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.13, favoring Al Karkh. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Al Karkh
20%
Draws
29%
Al Gharraf
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Karkh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Karkh come out ahead of Al Gharraf on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Al Karkh taking it.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Al Karkh Clean Sheet 20%
Al Gharraf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Karkh Al Gharraf
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 5
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.21 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Stars League
Al Gharraf vs Al Karkh
2:2
Dec 22, 2025 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Al Gharraf
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Karkh 58 / 100
Al Gharraf 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Karkh Al Gharraf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Karkh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al Gharraf conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Al Karkh stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Al Gharraf lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Karkh VS Al Gharraf
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Karkh

(Home)
18 Oct
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Al Karkh
10 Oct
Al Karma
3 : 2
Al Karkh
17 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Naft Missan
13 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Duhok
09 Sept
Al Talaba
3 : 2
Al Karkh
Page 1 of 6

Al Gharraf

(Away)
16 Oct
Karbala
1 : 2
Al Gharraf
09 Oct
Al Gharraf
0 : 0
Al Golan
17 Sept
Al Zawraa
2 : 0
Al Gharraf
12 Sept
Diyala
3 : 1
Al Gharraf
08 Sept
Al Gharraf
1 : 2
Al Shorta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 10 7 3 0 17:7 24
2 Newroz 10 6 3 1 16:4 21
3 Al Naft 10 6 3 1 13:5 21
4 Al Zawraa 10 5 3 2 15:7 18
5 Erbil 10 5 3 2 13:5 18
6 Al Shorta 10 4 5 1 10:5 17
7 Al Golan 10 3 5 2 10:9 14
8 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 10 2 6 2 14:12 12
9 Duhok 10 2 6 2 14:13 12
10 Diyala 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
11 Al Minaa 10 3 3 4 10:12 12
12 Ghaz Al Shamal 10 2 5 3 5:7 11
13 Al Talaba 10 2 5 3 10:14 11
14 Al Mosul 10 3 2 5 10:15 11
15 Zakho 10 2 3 5 7:13 9
16 Al Gharraf 10 2 3 5 7:14 9
17 Al Karkh 10 2 2 6 14:17 8
18 Al Kahraba 10 1 5 4 6:11 8
19 Naft Missan 10 1 5 4 7:14 8
20 Karbala 10 1 3 6 7:17 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)