Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Karkh vs Al Shorta

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Moumouni B.
87' Event
Sambou B.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Al Karkh and Al Shorta finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Shorta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Al Karkh
30%
Draws
34%
Al Shorta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Karkh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Shorta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al Karkh are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Shorta here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Al Karkh Clean Sheet 15%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Karkh Al Shorta
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 12 21
Draws 10 9
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Al Shorta
0:2
Nov 20, 2025 Stars League
Al Shorta vs Al Karkh
3:0
May 8, 2025 Stars League
Al Shorta vs Al Karkh
1:0
Dec 11, 2024 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Al Shorta
1:2
May 21, 2024 Stars League
Al Shorta vs Al Karkh
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Karkh Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Al Shorta Compare

Top Goalscorer Moumouni B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sambou B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Karkh 35 / 100
Al Shorta 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Karkh Al Shorta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Karkh's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Al Shorta conceded in 61% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Al Karkh remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Karkh VS Al Shorta
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Karkh

(Home)
01 Jun
Al Talaba
1 : 1
Al Karkh
28 May
Al Karkh
0 : 2
Al Shorta
20 May
Al Najaf
2 : 5
Al Karkh
15 May
Al Gharraf
2 : 2
Al Karkh
11 May
Al Karkh
2 : 1
Baghdad
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Al Shorta

(Away)
02 Jun
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Al Minaa
28 May
Al Karkh
0 : 2
Al Shorta
20 May
Al Shorta
0 : 2
Erbil
15 May
Diyala
0 : 2
Al Shorta
10 May
Al Shorta
1 : 0
Al Gharraf
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)