Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Karkh vs Diyala

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Raheem A.
90' Event
Tandia I.

AI Match Summary

Diyala in this Stars League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Diyala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Al Karkh
30%
Draws
29%
Diyala
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Karkh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Diyala haven't matched Al Karkh's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Al Karkh taking it.
  • Regular Stars League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Al Karkh Clean Sheet 68%
Diyala Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Karkh Diyala
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.23 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Diyala
0:2
Feb 4, 2026 Stars League
Diyala vs Al Karkh
1:0
Jun 14, 2025 Stars League
Diyala vs Al Karkh
2:0
Feb 8, 2025 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Diyala
3:1
Mar 28, 2011 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Diyala
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Karkh Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Diyala Compare

Top Goalscorer Raheem A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tandia I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Karkh 51 / 100
Diyala 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Karkh Diyala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diyala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Al Karkh has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Al Karkh scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Karkh VS Diyala
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Karkh

(Home)
17 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Naft Missan
13 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Duhok
09 Sept
Al Talaba
3 : 2
Al Karkh
04 Sept
Karbala
1 : 0
Al Karkh
29 Aug
Al Karkh
2 : 2
Al Kahraba
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Diyala

(Away)
19 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1
Diyala
12 Sept
Diyala
3 : 1
Al Gharraf
08 Sept
Erbil
2 : 0
Diyala
03 Sept
Diyala
1 : 2
Al-Karma
29 Aug
Diyala
3 : 3
Al Golan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al-Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al-Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)