Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Karkh vs Diyala

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Raheem A.
90' Event
Tandia I.

AI Match Summary

Diyala in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Diyala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Al Karkh
11%
Draws
9%
Diyala
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Al Karkh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Diyala haven't matched Al Karkh's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Al Karkh taking it.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Al Karkh Clean Sheet 68%
Diyala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Karkh Diyala
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.88 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Diyala
0:2
Feb 4, 2026 Stars League
Diyala vs Al Karkh
1:0
Jun 14, 2025 Stars League
Diyala vs Al Karkh
2:0
Feb 8, 2025 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Diyala
3:1
Mar 28, 2011 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Diyala
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Karkh Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Diyala Compare

Top Goalscorer Raheem A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tandia I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Karkh 86 / 100
Diyala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Karkh Diyala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Karkh's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Diyala let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Al Karkh has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Karkh VS Diyala
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Karkh

(Home)
01 Jun
Al Talaba
1 : 1
Al Karkh
28 May
Al Karkh
0 : 2
Al Shorta
20 May
Al Najaf
2 : 5
Al Karkh
15 May
Al Gharraf
2 : 2
Al Karkh
11 May
Al Karkh
2 : 1
Baghdad
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Diyala

(Away)
01 Jun
Diyala
1 : 0
Duhok
27 May
Al-Karma
1 : 0
Diyala
19 May
Diyala
1 : 4
Baghdad
15 May
Diyala
0 : 2
Al Shorta
11 May
Zakho
1 : 2
Diyala
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)