Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Karma vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Iraq Iraq

Stars League Duhok Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Jasim S.
24' Event
Faisal A.
45' Event
Al Yahmadi J.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Al-Karma and Al Quwa Al Jawiya finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Karma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Al-Karma
17%
Draws
13%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Al-Karma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Quwa Al Jawiya come out ahead of Al-Karma on wins alone.
  • Al-Karma are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Al-Karma Clean Sheet 68%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Karma Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 22
Draws 12 6
Losses 5 1
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Stars League
Al-Karma vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
3:0
Jan 9, 2026 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al-Karma
1:0
Feb 15, 2025 Stars League
Al-Karma vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2:1
Dec 12, 2024 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al-Karma
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Karma Compare

Top Goalscorer Jasim S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Faisal A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Al Quwa Al Jawiya Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Karma 77 / 100
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Karma Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Al-Karma stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Al-Karma's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Al Quwa Al Jawiya let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Karma VS Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966