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Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal Prediction & H2H Stats

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium, Dammam
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Asiri A.
15' Event
Meite M.
Assist: Milinkovic-Savic S.
29' Event
Milinkovic-Savic S.
Assist: Summerville C.

AI Match Summary

Al Hilal in this Saudi Professional League matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Hilal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Al Khaleej
30%
Draws
56%
Al Hilal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Hilal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Hilal have won more games recently than Al Khaleej.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Al Hilal taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Hilal here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Al Khaleej Clean Sheet 10%
Al Hilal Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Khaleej Al Hilal
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 5 22
Draws 11 4
Losses 15 3
Goals Scored 1.06 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.81 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal
1:5
May 5, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal
1:2
Dec 26, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Al Khaleej
3:2
Apr 17, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Al Khaleej
3:0
Nov 23, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Khaleej Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Amri S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Al Hilal Compare

Top Goalscorer Meite M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Milinkovic-Savic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Khaleej 10 / 100
Al Hilal 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Khaleej Al Hilal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Hilal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Al Khaleej found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Solid form: Al Khaleej remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Al Hilal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Khaleej VS Al Hilal
0.38 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Khaleej

(Home)
12 Sept
Al Khaleej
1 : 1
Al Nassr
07 Sept
Al Khaleej
0 : 0
Al Riyadh
03 Sept
Neom SC
3 : 0
Al Khaleej
28 Aug
Al Khaleej
1 : 5
Al Hilal
25 Aug
Abha
1 : 1
Al Khaleej
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Al Hilal

(Away)
15 Sept
Al Hilal
2 : 1
Al Gharafa
12 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 6
Al Hilal
07 Sept
Al Hilal
0 : 2
Neom SC
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2
Al Hilal
01 Sept
Al Hilal
3 : 0
Al Ahli SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 7 6 0 1 23:5 18
2 Al Ittihad 7 5 2 0 12:6 17
3 Al Nassr 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
4 Al Qadsiah 7 5 1 1 16:8 16
5 Neom SC 7 5 0 2 13:6 15
6 Al Ahli SC 7 4 0 3 16:10 12
7 Al Kholood 7 3 3 1 12:10 12
8 Al Diriyah 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
9 Al Ettifaq FC 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
11 Al Riyadh 7 2 2 3 8:16 8
12 Al Fayha 7 1 3 3 7:11 6
13 Al Khaleej 7 0 5 2 3:10 5
14 Al Shabab 7 0 4 3 6:11 4
15 Al Fateh 7 0 3 4 4:11 3
16 Al-Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
17 Al Taawon 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)