Sport Picks
Al Khaleej vs Al Nassr
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium, Dammam 
Match Events
30'
30'
Al Hamdan A.
40'
40'
Al Hamsal S.
48'
48'
Joao Felix
AI Match Summary
The Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 game between Al Khaleej and Al Nassr finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Nassr.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Nassr
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Al Nassr come out ahead of Al Khaleej on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Al Nassr have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Al Khaleej Clean Sheet 10%
Al Nassr Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Khaleej | Al Nassr |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 4 | 22 |
| Draws | 10 | 2 |
| Losses | 15 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 2.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Al Nassr
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Al Nassr
0:5
Nov 23, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Nassr vs Al Khaleej
4:1
May 21, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Nassr vs Al Khaleej
2:0
Jan 21, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Al Nassr
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Khaleej Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Al Nassr Compare
Top Goalscorer Joao Felix
2 Goals Assists Leader Al Hamdan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Khaleej 34 / 100
Al Nassr 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Khaleej Al Nassr
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Nassr Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Al Khaleej has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Attacking prowess: Al Khaleej scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Al Nassr let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.
Scoring Trends
Al Khaleej VS Al Nassr
0.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Khaleej
(Home) 12 Sept
Al Khaleej
1 : 1 Al Nassr
07 Sept
Al Khaleej
0 : 0 Al Riyadh
03 Sept
Neom SC
3 : 0 Al Khaleej
28 Aug
Al Khaleej
1 : 5 Al Hilal
25 Aug
Abha
1 : 1 Al Khaleej
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Al Khaleej
1 : 1 Al Nassr
07 Sept
Al Khaleej
0 : 0 Al Riyadh
28 Aug
Al Khaleej
1 : 5 Al Hilal
22 Aug
Al Khaleej
0 : 0 Al Shabab
20 May
Al Khaleej
1 : 4 Al Ahli SC
Page 1 of 3
Al Nassr
(Away) 15 Sept
Al Ain
4 : 0 Al Nassr
12 Sept
Al Khaleej
1 : 1 Al Nassr
09 Sept
Al Nassr
2 : 1 Abha
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Nassr
28 Aug
Al Nassr
2 : 1 Al Taawon
Page 1 of 7
15 Sept
Al Ain
4 : 0 Al Nassr
12 Sept
Al Khaleej
1 : 1 Al Nassr
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Nassr
25 Aug
Al Ettifaq FC
2 : 3 Al Nassr
21 Aug
Al Riyadh
0 : 4 Al Nassr
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nassr | 34 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 91:28 | 86 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 34 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 85:27 | 84 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 71:25 | 81 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 83:34 | 77 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55:48 | 55 |
| 6 | Al Taawon | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 59:46 | 53 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq FC | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 9 | Al Hazem Rass | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:57 | 42 |
| 10 | Al Fayha | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41:54 | 38 |
| 11 | Al Fateh | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 41:55 | 37 |
| 12 | Al Khaleej | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 54:62 | 37 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 44:57 | 35 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 39:61 | 33 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 35:63 | 30 |
| 16 | Damac | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 32:55 | 29 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 27:70 | 20 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 32:76 | 16 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)
