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Al Khalidiyah vs Al-Ittihad

Bahrain Bahrain

King's Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
44' Event
67' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Al Khalidiyah advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al Khalidiyah
6%
Draws
4%
Al-Ittihad
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Khalidiyah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Khalidiyah carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Al Khalidiyah a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Al Khalidiyah have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al-Ittihad, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Al Khalidiyah Clean Sheet 68%
Al-Ittihad Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Khalidiyah Al-Ittihad
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 22 7
Draws 2 1
Losses 7 21
Goals Scored 2.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.38 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 30, 2023 King's Cup
Al Khalidiyah vs Al-Ittihad
4:0
Oct 4, 2021 Bahrain Cup
Al Khalidiyah vs Al-Ittihad
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Khalidiyah 95 / 100
Al-Ittihad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Khalidiyah Al-Ittihad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Khalidiyah found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Al-Ittihad has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Al-Ittihad's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Khalidiyah VS Al-Ittihad
2.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Khalidiyah

(Home)
16 May
Al-Najma
1 : 3
Al Khalidiyah
11 May
Al Khalidiyah
1 : 2
Al-Muharraq
03 May
Al-Budaiya
0 : 1
Al Khalidiyah
27 Apr
Al Khalidiyah
2 : 1
Al-Hidd
18 Apr
Sitra
1 : 3
Al Khalidiyah
Page 1 of 7

Al-Ittihad

(Away)
30 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 1
Al-Budaiya
25 May
Manama Club
3 : 0
Al-Ittihad
21 May
Al-Najma
2 : 1
Al-Ittihad
11 Jan
Al-Ittihad
1 : 5
Al-Ittifaq
24 Jan
Al-Ittihad
2 : 3
Al-Budaiya
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Sitra0
Busaiteen1
Al-Ahli4
Umm Al Hassam0
Manama Club4
East Riffa0
Al-Hidd2
Al-Ittifaq3
Al-Muharraq1
Qalali0
Al Riffa5
Ali CSC0
Al Khalidiyah3
Al-Hala1
Al-Shabbab2
Al-Ittihad3
Quarter-finals
Busaiteen0
Al-Ahli1
Manama Club2
Al-Ittifaq0
Al-Muharraq2
Al Riffa1
Al Khalidiyah4
Al-Ittihad0
Semi-finals
Al-Ahli3
Manama Club1
Al-Muharraq1
Al Khalidiyah0
Final
Al-Ahli2
Al-Muharraq1