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Al-Khmes vs Abu Salim

Libya Libya

Premier League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al-Khmes and Abu Salim finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Khmes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Al-Khmes
30%
Draws
31%
Abu Salim
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al-Khmes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Abu Salim come out ahead of Al-Khmes on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Al-Khmes Clean Sheet 20%
Abu Salim Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Khmes Abu Salim
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 0.87 1
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Premier League
Abu Salim vs Al-Khmes
0:0
Feb 8, 2026 Premier League
Al-Khmes vs Abu Salim
2:1
May 22, 2024 Premier League
Al-Khmes vs Abu Salim
1:0
Dec 30, 2023 Premier League
Abu Salim vs Al-Khmes
3:1
May 6, 2023 Premier League
Abu Salim vs Al-Khmes
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Khmes 31 / 100
Abu Salim 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Khmes Abu Salim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Khmes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Abu Salim has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Al-Khmes's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Al-Khmes remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Khmes VS Abu Salim
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Khmes

(Home)
23 Apr
Abu Salim
0 : 0
Al-Khmes
18 Apr
Al-Khmes
1 : 3
Al Ahly Tripoli
13 Apr
Al Watan
0 : 1
Al-Khmes
08 Apr
Al-Khmes
2 : 2
Assabah
16 Mar
Al Malaab El Libby
2 : 0
Al-Khmes
Page 1 of 6

Abu Salim

(Away)
23 Apr
Abu Salim
0 : 0
Al-Khmes
18 Apr
Abu Salim
1 : 2
Al Dahra
13 Apr
Al Ahly Tripoli
7 : 1
Abu Salim
09 Apr
Abu Salim
1 : 0
Al Watan
16 Mar
Assabah
1 : 0
Abu Salim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Tripoli 18 15 2 1 47:9 47
2 Asswehly 18 13 4 1 35:9 43
3 Al Madina 18 8 4 6 23:22 28
4 Al Watan 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
5 Assabah 18 6 4 8 12:18 22
6 Al Malaab El Libby 18 5 5 8 15:21 20
7 Al-Khmes 18 5 5 8 19:31 20
8 Al Qadisiyah 18 6 2 10 11:24 19
9 Al Dahra 18 3 5 10 20:27 14
10 Abu Salim 18 3 4 11 13:30 13
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad 16 13 3 0 35:9 42
2 Olympic Azzaweya 16 9 4 3 25:11 31
3 Al Ittihad Misurata 16 7 6 3 21:11 27
4 Al-Majd 16 6 5 5 14:13 23
5 Al Shomooa 16 6 4 6 24:19 22
6 Shabab Al-Ghar 16 4 6 6 17:27 18
7 Al Tirsana 16 3 7 6 15:23 16
8 Ittihad Gharyan 16 2 4 10 10:25 10
9 Abi Al Ashar 16 1 3 12 9:32 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Military Union 16 10 5 1 26:9 35
2 Al Hilal Benghazi 16 10 4 2 20:11 34
3 Al Ahly Benghazi 16 9 6 1 23:6 33
4 Al Taawun 16 7 5 4 19:14 26
5 Darnes 16 5 5 6 16:16 20
6 Al Sadaqa 16 5 4 7 16:17 19
7 Al-Anwar 16 1 8 7 12:23 11
8 Al Borouq 16 2 4 10 7:21 10
9 Al-Suqoor 16 1 3 12 13:35 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 14 11 2 1 28:7 35
2 Al Akhdar 14 8 4 2 16:9 28
3 Al-Afreeki 14 7 2 5 29:18 23
4 Al Tahaddi 14 5 6 3 21:14 21
5 Khaleej Sirte 14 5 4 5 25:22 19
6 Wefaq Ajdabiya 14 5 3 6 13:17 18
7 Al Murooj SC 14 4 1 9 16:24 13
8 Al-Andalus 14 0 0 14 1:38 0
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)