Sport Picks
Al Kholood vs Al Ittihad
Saudi Arabia
King Cup 2025/2026 Al-Hazem Club Stadium, Ar Rass 
Match Events
12'
12'
Sub
Doumbia M. In: Diaby M.
Out: Doumbia M.
40'
40'
Diaby M.
Assist: Bergwijn S.
45'
45'
Al Dawsari A.
AI Match Summary
Al Kholood in this King Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
35%
38%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Ittihad
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Al Ittihad lately — more wins on the board than Al Kholood.
- 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Al Ittihad arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Al Ittihad, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Al Kholood Clean Sheet 12%
Al Ittihad Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Kholood | Al Ittihad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Ittihad vs Al Kholood
1:1
May 4, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Ittihad vs Al Kholood
0:0
Mar 18, 2026 King Cup
Al Kholood vs Al Ittihad
3:2
Jan 9, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Kholood vs Al Ittihad
0:4
Feb 1, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Ittihad vs Al Kholood
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Kholood Compare
Top Goalscorer Al Aliwa A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Berry A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Al Ittihad Compare
Top Goalscorer Diaby M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bergwijn S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Kholood 35 / 100
Al Ittihad 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Kholood Al Ittihad
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Ittihad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Attacking prowess: Al Kholood scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Al Ittihad let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Al Kholood went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Al Kholood VS Al Ittihad
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Kholood
(Home) 13 Sept
Al Riyadh
2 : 0 Al Kholood
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1 Al Shabab
03 Sept
Al Fayha
2 : 2 Al Kholood
29 Aug
Al Kholood
3 : 1 Al Ahli SC
26 Aug
Al Diriyah
1 : 1 Al Kholood
Page 1 of 6
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1 Al Shabab
29 Aug
Al Kholood
3 : 1 Al Ahli SC
22 Aug
Al Kholood
3 : 2 Al Taawon
21 May
Al Kholood
0 : 0 Al Fateh
12 May
Al Kholood
0 : 0 Al Okhdood
Page 1 of 3
Al Ittihad
(Away) 14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1 Al Ittihad
11 Sept
Al-Faisaly
1 : 3 Al Ittihad
08 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Fayha
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Nassr
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0 Al Ittihad
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1 Al Ittihad
11 Sept
Al-Faisaly
1 : 3 Al Ittihad
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0 Al Ittihad
21 Aug
Al Qadsiah
0 : 1 Al Ittihad
18 Aug
Al Najma
0 : 3 Al Ittihad
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Al Batin 3
Al Ettifaq FC 2
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 0
Al Ahli SC 5
Al Orubah 1
Al Qadsiah 3
Al Hazem Rass 2
Neom SC 1
Al Raed 0
Al Okhdood 1
Al Adalah 0
Al Hilal 1
Al Jabalain 1
Al Fateh 2
Al Jubail 0
Al Riyadh 1
Al Bukiryah 1
Al Kholood 2
Al Najma 2
Damac 1
Al Taee 0
Al Khaleej 5
Al-Faisaly 0
Al Taawon 4
Jeddah Club 0
Al Nassr 4
Al Wehda 0
Al Ittihad 1
Abha 2
Al Shabab 3
Al Zulfi 1
Al Fayha 0
1/8-finals
Al Batin 0
Al Ahli SC 3
Al Qadsiah 3
Al Hazem Rass 1
Al Okhdood 0
Al Hilal 1
Al Fateh 2
Al Riyadh 0
Al Kholood 1
Al Najma 0
Al Khaleej 2
Al Taawon 1
Al Nassr 1
Al Ittihad 2
Al Shabab 1
Al Zulfi 0
Quarter-finals
Al Ahli SC 4
Al Qadsiah 3
Al Hilal 4
Al Fateh 1
Al Kholood 4
Al Khaleej 3
Al Ittihad 4
Al Shabab 1
Semi-finals
Al Ahli SC 1
Al Hilal 2
Al Kholood 3
Al Ittihad 2
Final
Al Hilal 2
Al Kholood 1
