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Al Kholood vs Al Qadsiah - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Al-Hazem Club Stadium, Ar Rass
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Match Events

4' Event
Reijnders T.
Assist: Retegui M.
13' Event
Bonsu Baah C.
Assist: Quinones J.
40' Event
Al Juwayr M.
Assist: Abu Al Shamat M.

AI Match Summary

Al Qadsiah in this Saudi Professional League matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Qadsiah.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Al Kholood
30%
Draws
43%
Al Qadsiah
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Qadsiah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Al Qadsiah have won more games recently than Al Kholood.
  • Model gives Al Kholood a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Saudi Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Qadsiah have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Al Kholood Clean Sheet 10%
Al Qadsiah Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Kholood Al Qadsiah
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 9 19
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 1.23 2.36
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Kholood vs Al Qadsiah
0:5
Mar 7, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Kholood vs Al Qadsiah
1:4
Nov 6, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Qadsiah vs Al Kholood
4:0
May 2, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Qadsiah vs Al Kholood
4:1
Dec 6, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Kholood vs Al Qadsiah
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Kholood Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Al Qadsiah Compare

Top Goalscorer Reijnders T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bonsu Baah C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Kholood 34 / 100
Al Qadsiah 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Kholood Al Qadsiah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Al Kholood found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Al Qadsiah's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Al Kholood stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Kholood VS Al Qadsiah
2.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Kholood

(Home)
13 Sept
Al Riyadh
2 : 0
Al Kholood
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1
Al Shabab
03 Sept
Al Fayha
2 : 2
Al Kholood
29 Aug
Al Kholood
3 : 1
Al Ahli SC
26 Aug
Al Diriyah
1 : 1
Al Kholood
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Al Qadsiah

(Away)
14 Sept
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1
Al Wasl
11 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 3
Al Ettifaq FC
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2
Al Ahli SC
03 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 2
Al Qadsiah
30 Aug
Al Qadsiah
3 : 1
Al Faisaly
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 7 6 0 1 23:5 18
2 Al Ittihad 7 5 2 0 12:6 17
3 Al Nassr 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
4 Al Qadsiah 7 5 1 1 16:8 16
5 Neom SC 7 5 0 2 13:6 15
6 Al Ahli SC 7 4 0 3 16:10 12
7 Al Kholood 7 3 3 1 12:10 12
8 Al Diriyah 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
9 Al Ettifaq FC 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
11 Al Riyadh 7 2 2 3 8:16 8
12 Al Fayha 7 1 3 3 7:11 6
13 Al Khaleej 7 0 5 2 3:10 5
14 Al Shabab 7 0 4 3 6:11 4
15 Al Fateh 7 0 3 4 4:11 3
16 Al Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
17 Al Taawon 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)