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Al Kuwait vs Burgan

Kuwait Kuwait

Crown Prince Cup Al Kuwait Sports Club Stadium, Kuwait
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
62' Event
67' Event

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Al Kuwait
35%
Draws
31%
Burgan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Kuwait lately — more wins on the board than Burgan.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Al Kuwait taking it.
  • Al Kuwait have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Kuwait, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Kuwait here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Al Kuwait Clean Sheet 20%
Burgan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Kuwait Burgan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 7
Draws 7 9
Losses 2 14
Goals Scored 2.4 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Crown Prince Cup
Al Kuwait vs Burgan
3:0
Jan 8, 2021 Crown Prince Cup
Burgan vs Al Kuwait
0:2
Dec 26, 2020 Premier League
Al Kuwait vs Burgan
1:2
Apr 11, 2019 Emir Cup
Al Kuwait vs Burgan
5:0
Apr 20, 2017 Premier League
Al Kuwait vs Burgan
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Kuwait 36 / 100
Burgan 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Kuwait Burgan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Kuwait scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Al Kuwait stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Burgan has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Kuwait VS Burgan
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Kuwait

(Home)
05 Sept
Al Kuwait
1 : 0
Al Jahra
31 Aug
Al Qadisiya
0 : 1
Al Kuwait
25 Aug
Al Kuwait
3 : 3
Al Arabi (Kuwait)
29 Jun
Al Qadisiya
0 : 0
Al Kuwait
25 Jun
Al Kuwait
0 : 0
Kazma SC
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Burgan

(Away)
20 Aug
Sporty FC
2 : 4
Burgan
17 Aug
Burgan
4 : 1
Al Shamiya FC
14 Aug
Khaitan
0 : 0
Burgan
11 Aug
Yarmouk
3 : 1
Burgan
07 Aug
Burgan
0 : 0
Al Sulaibikhat
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al Arabi (Kuwait) 2
Yarmouk 1
Al Shabab 0
Al Qadisiya 2
Al-Fahaheel 1
Al-Jazira 0
Al Sulaibikhat 3
Kazma SC 2
Al Kuwait 3
Khaitan 0
Burgan 2
Al Jahra 0
Al Salmiya 1
Al Tadamon 2
Al Naser 1
Al Sahel 0
Quarter-finals
Al Arabi (Kuwait) 2
Al Qadisiya 0
Al-Fahaheel 3
Al Sulaibikhat 0
Al Kuwait 3
Burgan 0
Al Tadamon 0
Al Naser 4
Semi-finals
Al Arabi (Kuwait) 2
Al-Fahaheel 0
Al Kuwait 3
Al Naser 2
Final
Al Arabi (Kuwait) 3
Al Kuwait 0