Sport Picks

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Al-Mabarrah vs Al Sahel

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Siblini M.
Assist: Tarhini K.

AI Match Summary

Al-Mabarrah in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al-Mabarrah.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Al-Mabarrah
6%
Draws
90%
Al Sahel
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Sahel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Sahel lately — more wins on the board than Al-Mabarrah.
  • Al Sahel are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Al-Mabarrah Clean Sheet 23%
Al Sahel Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Mabarrah Al Sahel
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Premier League
Al-Mabarrah vs Al Sahel
1:0
Sep 19, 2025 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Al-Mabarrah
0:0
Feb 22, 2014 Premier League
Al-Mabarrah vs Al Sahel
2:2
Dec 21, 2013 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Al-Mabarrah
0:1
Feb 19, 2012 Premier League
Al-Mabarrah vs Al Sahel
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Mabarrah Compare

Top Goalscorer Siblini M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Al Sahel Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Mabarrah 10 / 100
Al Sahel 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Mabarrah Al Sahel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al-Mabarrah scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Al Sahel conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Al-Mabarrah remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Mabarrah VS Al Sahel
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Mabarrah

(Home)
03 Jul
Safa
4 : 0
Al-Mabarrah
29 Jun
Al-Mabarrah
0 : 7
Al Ansar
25 Jun
Al Hikma
4 : 2
Al-Mabarrah
21 Jun
Nejmeh SC
5 : 0
Al-Mabarrah
16 Jun
Tadamon
1 : 1
Al-Mabarrah
Page 1 of 6

Al Sahel

(Away)
02 Jul
Jwayya SC
0 : 0
Al Sahel
28 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 2
Al Sahel
24 Jun
Al Sahel
3 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
16 Jun
Al Sahel
2 : 0
Racing
12 Jun
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Safa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ansar21172253:953
2Nejmeh SC21144342:1046
3Al Ahed21131734:2240
4Jwayya SC21115531:1438
5Safa21113730:1736
6Al Hikma2193929:2730
7Al Sahel2176822:2127
8Al-Mabarrah2157912:3622
9Al Riyadi Abbasiyah21551116:3020
10Tadamon21381012:2617
11Racing2101204:611
12Bourj113178:2010
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)