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Al Madina vs Assabah Prediction & H2H Stats

Libya Libya

Premier League 2025/2026 Solyman AL Darrat, Tripoli
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AI Match Summary

Assabah in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Assabah.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Al Madina
20%
Draws
51%
Assabah
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Assabah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Al Madina have won more games recently than Assabah.
  • Win probability leans Al Madina's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Al Madina Clean Sheet 20%
Assabah Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Madina Assabah
Matches Played 34 18
Wins 14 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.29 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.32 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Premier League
Assabah vs Al Madina
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 Premier League
Al Madina vs Assabah
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Madina 36 / 100
Assabah 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Madina Assabah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Madina scored in 74% of their last 34 outings.

Assabah has conceded goals in 56% of their last 18 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Al Madina stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Madina VS Assabah
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Madina

(Home)
24 May
Al Madina
1 : 1
Al Ittihad Misurata
20 May
Al Madina
0 : 3
Asswehly
14 May
Al Madina
0 : 1
Al Ahly Tripoli
10 May
Al-Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Madina
06 May
Al Madina
3 : 2
Olympic Azzaweya
Page 1 of 7

Assabah

(Away)
23 Apr
Assabah
1 : 0
Al Madina
18 Apr
Al Qadisiyah
1 : 0
Assabah
13 Apr
Assabah
0 : 3
Asswehly
08 Apr
Al-Khmes
2 : 2
Assabah
16 Mar
Assabah
1 : 0
Abu Salim
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Tripoli 18 15 2 1 47:9 47
2 Asswehly 18 13 4 1 35:9 43
3 Al Madina 18 8 4 6 23:22 28
4 Al Watan 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
5 Assabah 18 6 4 8 12:18 22
6 Al Malaab El Libby 18 5 5 8 15:21 20
7 Al-Khmes 18 5 5 8 19:31 20
8 Al Qadisiyah 18 6 2 10 11:24 19
9 Al Dahra 18 3 5 10 20:27 14
10 Abu Salim 18 3 4 11 13:30 13
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad 16 13 3 0 35:9 42
2 Olympic Azzaweya 16 9 4 3 25:11 31
3 Al Ittihad Misurata 16 7 6 3 21:11 27
4 Al-Majd 16 6 5 5 14:13 23
5 Al Shomooa 16 6 4 6 24:19 22
6 Shabab Al-Ghar 16 4 6 6 17:27 18
7 Al Tirsana 16 3 7 6 15:23 16
8 Ittihad Gharyan 16 2 4 10 10:25 10
9 Abi Al Ashar 16 1 3 12 9:32 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Military Union 16 10 5 1 26:9 35
2 Al Hilal Benghazi 16 10 4 2 20:11 34
3 Al Ahly Benghazi 16 9 6 1 23:6 33
4 Al Taawun 16 7 5 4 19:14 26
5 Darnes 16 5 5 6 16:16 20
6 Al Sadaqa 16 5 4 7 16:17 19
7 Al-Anwar 16 1 8 7 12:23 11
8 Al Borouq 16 2 4 10 7:21 10
9 Al-Suqoor 16 1 3 12 13:35 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 14 11 2 1 28:7 35
2 Al Akhdar 14 8 4 2 16:9 28
3 Al-Afreeki 14 7 2 5 29:18 23
4 Al Tahaddi 14 5 6 3 21:14 21
5 Khaleej Sirte 14 5 4 5 25:22 19
6 Wefaq Ajdabiya 14 5 3 6 13:17 18
7 Al Murooj SC 14 4 1 9 16:24 13
8 Al-Andalus 14 0 0 14 1:38 0
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)