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Al Madina vs Asswehly

Libya Libya

Premier League 2025/2026 Solyman AL Darrat, Tripoli
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al Madina and Asswehly finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Asswehly.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Al Madina
20%
Draws
61%
Asswehly
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Asswehly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Asswehly come out ahead of Al Madina on wins alone.
  • Model gives Asswehly a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Asswehly here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Al Madina Clean Sheet 13%
Asswehly Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Madina Asswehly
Matches Played 35 33
Wins 15 21
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.29 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Premier League
Al Madina vs Asswehly
0:3
Mar 15, 2026 Premier League
Al Madina vs Asswehly
0:3
Jan 14, 2026 Premier League
Asswehly vs Al Madina
2:1
Jun 18, 2025 Premier League
Asswehly vs Al Madina
1:0
Apr 29, 2025 Premier League
Al Madina vs Asswehly
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Madina 10 / 100
Asswehly 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Madina Asswehly

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asswehly Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Al Madina's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Asswehly's defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 33 matches.

Recent resilience: Al Madina stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Madina VS Asswehly
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Madina

(Home)
24 May
Al Madina
1 : 1
Al Ittihad Misurata
20 May
Al Madina
0 : 3
Asswehly
14 May
Al Madina
0 : 1
Al Ahly Tripoli
10 May
Al-Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Madina
06 May
Al Madina
3 : 2
Olympic Azzaweya
Page 1 of 7

Asswehly

(Away)
13 Sept
KVZ
0 : 3
Asswehly
04 Sept
Asswehly
1 : 0
KVZ
06 Jun
Asswehly
2 : 1
Al Nasr
24 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
0 : 0
Asswehly
20 May
Al Madina
0 : 3
Asswehly
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Tripoli 18 15 2 1 47:9 47
2 Asswehly 18 13 4 1 35:9 43
3 Al Madina 18 8 4 6 23:22 28
4 Al Watan 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
5 Assabah 18 6 4 8 12:18 22
6 Al Malaab El Libby 18 5 5 8 15:21 20
7 Al-Khmes 18 5 5 8 19:31 20
8 Al Qadisiyah 18 6 2 10 11:24 19
9 Al Dahra 18 3 5 10 20:27 14
10 Abu Salim 18 3 4 11 13:30 13
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad 16 13 3 0 35:9 42
2 Olympic Azzaweya 16 9 4 3 25:11 31
3 Al Ittihad Misurata 16 7 6 3 21:11 27
4 Al-Majd 16 6 5 5 14:13 23
5 Al Shomooa 16 6 4 6 24:19 22
6 Shabab Al-Ghar 16 4 6 6 17:27 18
7 Al Tirsana 16 3 7 6 15:23 16
8 Ittihad Gharyan 16 2 4 10 10:25 10
9 Abi Al Ashar 16 1 3 12 9:32 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Military Union 16 10 5 1 26:9 35
2 Al Hilal Benghazi 16 10 4 2 20:11 34
3 Al Ahly Benghazi 16 9 6 1 23:6 33
4 Al Taawun 16 7 5 4 19:14 26
5 Darnes 16 5 5 6 16:16 20
6 Al Sadaqa 16 5 4 7 16:17 19
7 Al-Anwar 16 1 8 7 12:23 11
8 Al Borouq 16 2 4 10 7:21 10
9 Al-Suqoor 16 1 3 12 13:35 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 14 11 2 1 28:7 35
2 Al Akhdar 14 8 4 2 16:9 28
3 Al-Afreeki 14 7 2 5 29:18 23
4 Al Tahaddi 14 5 6 3 21:14 21
5 Khaleej Sirte 14 5 4 5 25:22 19
6 Wefaq Ajdabiya 14 5 3 6 13:17 18
7 Al Murooj SC 14 4 1 9 16:24 13
8 Al-Andalus 14 0 0 14 1:38 0
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)