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Al Mahalla Tripoli vs Asaria

Libya Libya

Premier League 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2022/2023 game between Al Mahalla Tripoli and Asaria finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Al Mahalla Tripoli
40%
Draws
29%
Asaria
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Mahalla Tripoli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Al Mahalla Tripoli Clean Sheet 20%
Asaria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Mahalla Tripoli Asaria
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 4
Draws 13 13
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2023 Premier League
Al Mahalla Tripoli vs Asaria
1:1
Nov 3, 2022 Premier League
Asaria vs Al Mahalla Tripoli
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Mahalla Tripoli 32 / 100
Asaria 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Mahalla Tripoli Asaria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asaria let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Al Mahalla Tripoli found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Al Mahalla Tripoli went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Asaria
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ahly Benghazi1889126:1633
2Al Nasr1879220:1530
3Al Hilal Benghazi1885523:1629
4Al Akhdar1875623:1926
5Darnes1876520:1724
6Al Taawun1859421:2124
7Al Sadaqa18411316:1823
8Al-Suqoor1848617:2220
9Al Tahaddi1828812:2014
10Shabaab Al Jabal18141310:244
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Ittihad18115218:635
2Al Ahly Tripoli1888224:1132
3Abu Salim1888216:832
4Olympic Azzaweya1867523:1725
5Asswehly1866619:1924
6Asaria18210616:2716
7Al-Khmes1846811:1815
8Al Madina18310515:1913
9Al Ittihad Misurata1829712:1612
10Al Mahalla Tripoli1819811:246