Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Markhiya vs Al Ahli 2

Qatar Qatar

Division 2 2014/2015 Grand Hamad Stadium, Doha
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Markhiya in this Division 2 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Markhiya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Al Markhiya
15%
Draws
31%
Al Ahli 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Markhiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Markhiya lately — more wins on the board than Al Ahli 2.
  • Al Markhiya are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Markhiya have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Al Markhiya Clean Sheet 20%
Al Ahli 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Markhiya Al Ahli 2
Matches Played 41 33
Wins 27 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.22 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.95 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2016 QSL 2
Al Markhiya vs Al Ahli 2
1:0
Feb 13, 2016 QSL 2
Al Markhiya vs Al Ahli 2
3:0
Feb 14, 2015 QSL 2
Al Markhiya vs Al Ahli 2
2:1
Nov 25, 2013 QSL 2
Al Markhiya vs Al Ahli 2
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Markhiya 85 / 100
Al Ahli 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Markhiya Al Ahli 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Markhiya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Markhiya scored in 85% of their last 41 outings.

Al Ahli 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Al Markhiya went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Markhiya VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Markhiya

(Home)
21 Sept
Lusail
1 : 0
Al Markhiya
06 Sept
Al Rayyan 2
0 : 2
Al Markhiya
30 Aug
Al-Gharafa 2
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
23 Aug
Al Khor
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
31 Jul
Al Markhiya
1 : 0
Al Thaid
Page 1 of 9

Al Ahli 2

(Away)
02 Apr
Al Arabi (Qatar) 2
0 : 1
Al Ahli 2
24 Mar
Al-Duhail 2
0 : 0
Al Ahli 2
04 Mar
Al Ahli 2
1 : 7
Al Muaidar 2
11 Feb
Qatar SC
7 : 0
Al Ahli 2
04 Feb
Al Ahli 2
5 : 2
Al Khor 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 17 16 0 1 87:13 48
2 Al Mesaimeer 17 14 2 1 67:23 44
3 Muaither SC 17 13 1 3 55:18 40
4 Al Markhiya 17 9 4 4 37:31 31
5 Al-Gharafa 2 17 8 4 5 43:36 28
6 Al-Sadd 2 17 7 5 5 36:35 26
7 Al-Kharitiyath 2 17 7 3 7 34:47 24
8 Al-Duhail 2 17 7 1 9 43:32 22
9 Al Arabi (Qatar) 2 17 6 4 7 37:33 22
10 Umm-Salal 2 17 5 5 7 32:38 20
11 Al Jaish 2 17 5 4 8 39:52 19
12 Al Ahli 2 17 5 4 8 24:41 19
13 Shamal 2 17 5 3 9 16:38 18
14 Al Wakra 2 17 4 5 8 25:35 17
15 Al Sailiya 2 17 5 1 11 29:48 16
16 Qatar SC 2 17 4 3 10 27:36 15
17 Al-Shahaniya 2 17 3 3 11 26:44 12
18 Al Khor 2 17 3 2 12 21:78 11
Promotion - QSL 2015/2016 (Main)