Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Markhiya vs Lusail

Qatar Qatar

Division 2 2025/2026 Grand Hamad Stadium, Doha
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Pilali A.
48' Event
Roustaei A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Lusail in this Division 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lusail.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Al Markhiya
22%
Draws
18%
Lusail
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Al Markhiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Markhiya have won more games recently than Lusail.
  • Win probability leans Al Markhiya's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Al Markhiya Clean Sheet 11%
Lusail Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Markhiya Lusail
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 QSL 2
Al Markhiya vs Lusail
0:2
Dec 21, 2025 QSL 2
Lusail vs Al Markhiya
2:1
Nov 15, 2025 QSL Cup
Lusail vs Al Markhiya
1:2
Feb 3, 2025 QSL 2
Lusail vs Al Markhiya
0:1
Sep 19, 2024 QSL 2
Al Markhiya vs Lusail
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Markhiya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Lusail Compare

Top Goalscorer Pilali A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Markhiya 56 / 100
Lusail 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Markhiya Lusail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Markhiya scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Lusail has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Al Markhiya has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Markhiya VS Lusail
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Markhiya

(Home)
31 Jul
Al Markhiya
1 : 0
Al Thaid
30 Jul
Al Markhiya
1 : 0
Al Raed
30 Apr
Al Khor
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
25 Apr
Al Markhiya
0 : 2
Lusail
12 Apr
Al-Waab
1 : 1
Al Markhiya
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Lusail

(Away)
24 Jul
Den Bosch
2 : 1
Lusail
18 Jul
Dordrecht
5 : 0
Lusail
30 Apr
Lusail
1 : 2
Al Bidda
25 Apr
Al Markhiya
0 : 2
Lusail
12 Apr
Lusail
3 : 0
Al Mesaimeer
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lusail1492328:1429
2Al-Kharitiyath1474323:1125
3Al Markhiya1465324:1823
4Muaither SC1463526:2821
5Al Mesaimeer1452719:2117
6Al Khor1445521:2517
7Al-Waab1433815:2512
8Al Bidda1432913:2711
Promotion - QSL (Main)
Promotion - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)