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Al Markhiya vs Muaither SC

Qatar Qatar

Division 2 2025/2026 Grand Hamad Stadium, Doha
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Luque A.
(Penalty)
12' Event
Luque A.
20' Event
Lucao

AI Match Summary

Muaither SC in this Division 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Muaither SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Al Markhiya
15%
Draws
32%
Muaither SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Markhiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Muaither SC have won more games recently than Al Markhiya.
  • Model gives Al Markhiya a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Al Markhiya Clean Sheet 16%
Muaither SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Markhiya Muaither SC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 16
Draws 7 3
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.62 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 QSL 2
Al Markhiya vs Muaither SC
3:4
Mar 25, 2026 QSL Cup
Muaither SC vs Al Markhiya
3:2
Oct 22, 2025 QSL 2
Muaither SC vs Al Markhiya
1:2
Sep 1, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Markhiya vs Muaither SC
0:0
Apr 16, 2025 QSL 2
Al Markhiya vs Muaither SC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Markhiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucao
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Muaither SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Luque A.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Markhiya 84 / 100
Muaither SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Markhiya Muaither SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Markhiya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Muaither SC let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Al Markhiya has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al Markhiya scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Markhiya VS Muaither SC
1.88 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Markhiya

(Home)
06 Sept
Al Rayyan 2
0 : 2
Al Markhiya
30 Aug
Al-Gharafa 2
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
23 Aug
Al Khor
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
31 Jul
Al Markhiya
1 : 0
Al Thaid
30 Jul
Al Markhiya
1 : 0
Al Raed
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Muaither SC

(Away)
07 Sept
Al-Gharafa 2
0 : 1
Muaither SC
31 Aug
Muaither SC
5 : 1
Al Rayyan 2
24 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 0
Muaither SC
28 Jul
Oran
3 : 0
Muaither SC
30 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 3
Muaither SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusail 14 9 2 3 28:14 29
2 Al-Kharitiyath 14 7 4 3 23:11 25
3 Al Markhiya 14 6 5 3 24:18 23
4 Muaither SC 14 6 3 5 26:28 21
5 Al Mesaimeer 14 5 2 7 19:21 17
6 Al Khor 14 4 5 5 21:25 17
7 Al-Waab 14 3 3 8 15:25 12
8 Al Bidda 14 3 2 9 13:27 11
Promotion - QSL (Main)
Promotion - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)