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Al Masry vs Al Ittihad Alexandria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

Premier League Borg El Arab Stadium, Alexandria
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
El Gohary Y.
43'
El Aash M.
46'
Sub
Semakula K. In: Emad M.
Out: Semakula K.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Masry and Al Ittihad Alexandria finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ittihad Alexandria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Al Masry
15%
Draws
51%
Al Ittihad Alexandria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Ittihad Alexandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Masry come out ahead of Al Ittihad Alexandria on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Al Masry Clean Sheet 68%
Al Ittihad Alexandria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Masry Al Ittihad Alexandria
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 11
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.26 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.06 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Premier League
Al Masry vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
0:2
Dec 11, 2025 League Cup
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Al Masry
0:0
Aug 8, 2025 Premier League
Al Masry vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
3:1
Feb 8, 2025 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Al Masry
1:2
Aug 18, 2024 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Al Masry
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Masry Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Al Ittihad Alexandria Compare

Top Goalscorer Ebuka J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Masry 42 / 100
Al Ittihad Alexandria 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Masry Al Ittihad Alexandria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Masry's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Al Ittihad Alexandria has conceded goals in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Al Masry remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Masry VS Al Ittihad Alexandria
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Masry

(Home)
07 Oct
Ceramica Cleopatra
0 : 1
Al Masry
15 Sept
Al Masry
0 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
07 Sept
Petrojet
2 : 1
Al Masry
31 Aug
Al Masry
0 : 1
Pyramids
27 Aug
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2 : 3
Al Masry
Page 1 of 7

Al Ittihad Alexandria

(Away)
08 Oct
Al Ittihad Alexandria
0 : 1
Wadi Degla
15 Sept
Al Masry
0 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
07 Sept
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 0
Asyut Petroleum
02 Sept
Abu Qir Semad
0 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
28 Aug
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 3
Ceramica Cleopatra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyramids 5 5 0 0 9:1 15
2 Zamalek 5 4 1 0 8:1 13
3 Al Ahly 5 4 1 0 9:3 13
4 Ceramica Cleopatra 5 4 0 1 10:3 12
5 Modern Sport 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
6 Al Ittihad Alexandria 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
7 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Petrojet 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
9 El Gaish 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
10 ZED FC 5 2 1 2 4:5 7
11 Al Qanah 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
12 Al Masry 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
13 National Bank Egypt 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
14 Wadi Degla 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 Enppi 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
16 Smouha 5 1 1 3 1:4 4
17 Abu Qir Semad 5 1 0 4 1:8 3
18 El Gouna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Asyut Petroleum 5 0 2 3 1:5 2
20 Ghazl El Mahallah 5 0 1 4 1:9 1
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
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