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Al-Mergheni vs Wad Nobawi

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2025
Thu, Jan 23, 2025
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al-Mergheni host Wad Nobawi in the Premier League 2025. Wad Nobawi go into this one as the clear favorite. Wad Nobawi have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while Al-Mergheni have conceded 1.24 and scored 0.76. Past meetings favor Al-Mergheni slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 23, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Wad Nobawi. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Al-Mergheni
35%
Draws
39%
Wad Nobawi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Wad Nobawi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Wad Nobawi have won more games recently than Al-Mergheni.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Al-Mergheni Clean Sheet 20%
Wad Nobawi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Mergheni Wad Nobawi
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 4 5
Draws 14 14
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 0.76 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2025 Premier League
Al-Mergheni vs Wad Nobawi
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Mergheni 36 / 100
Wad Nobawi 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Mergheni Wad Nobawi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wad Nobawi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wad Nobawi let in goals in 63% of their last 24 matches.

Al-Mergheni has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al-Mergheni scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Al-Mergheni VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Mergheni

(Home)
14 Feb
Al-Mergheni
1 : 1
Hilal Alsahil
11 Feb
Al-Mergheni
1 : 2
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
07 Feb
Kober
0 : 0
Al-Mergheni
02 Feb
Al Taqadom
2 : 2
Al-Mergheni
28 Jan
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Al-Mergheni
Page 1 of 6

Wad Nobawi

(Away)
11 Apr
Wad Nobawi
1 : 1
Rabita Kosti
06 Apr
Wad Nobawi
0 : 0
Hilal El-Fasher
03 Apr
Hay Al Wadi
1 : 0
Wad Nobawi
26 Mar
Haidob Al Nuhod
1 : 1
Wad Nobawi
21 Mar
Alfalah Atbra
0 : 1
Wad Nobawi
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Mergheni 8 3 4 1 9:6 13
2 Hilal Alsahil 8 2 6 0 7:5 12
3 Al Shorta 8 2 3 3 8:8 9
4 Al Hilal Manaqil 8 2 3 3 8:7 9
5 Hay al-Arab 8 2 2 4 8:14 8
6 Wad Nobawi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Merreikh Obeid 10 6 1 3 18:12 19
2 Zamala Ruwaba 10 4 5 1 16:11 17
3 Rabita Kosti 10 3 5 2 8:9 14
4 Hilal El-Fasher 10 3 3 4 14:14 12
5 Haidob Al Nuhod 10 3 3 4 10:13 12
6 Merikh Nyala 10 1 3 6 9:16 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hay Al Wadi 6 3 3 0 6:3 12
2 Umm Mughad 6 1 5 0 5:4 8
3 Al-Ahly Merowe 6 1 3 2 2:3 6
4 Kober 6 1 1 4 3:6 4
5 Al Zoma 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Tuti 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Madani 8 5 1 2 11:6 16
2 Alamal SC Atbara 8 3 5 0 11:7 14
3 Ahli Khartoum 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
4 Alfalah Atbra 8 2 3 3 7:9 9
5 Ahli Shendi 8 1 2 5 2:7 5
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)