Sport Picks

Sudan

Premier League Al Merreikh Stadium

Hay Al Wadi

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al-Merreikh II play Hay Al Wadi in the Premier League. Al-Merreikh II are favorites here. Recently, Al-Merreikh II averaged 2.12 goals scored and 0.65 conceded. Hay Al Wadi averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, Al-Merreikh II won 1, Hay Al Wadi won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 1, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Al-Merreikh II and 1.00 for Hay Al Wadi. This points to a Al-Merreikh II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Al-Merreikh II

25%

Draws

15%

Hay Al Wadi

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Al-Merreikh II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Al-Merreikh II picked up more points recently compared to Hay Al Wadi.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 66%

Over 2.5 Goals 47%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Al-Merreikh II Clean Sheet 23%

Hay Al Wadi Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Al-Merreikh II	Hay Al Wadi
Matches Played	17	29
Wins	12	9
Draws	4	11
Losses	1	9
Goals Scored	2.12	1.07
Goals Conceded	0.65	1.31
Expected Goals (xG)	3.13	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2026 Premier League

Al-Merreikh II vs Hay Al Wadi

Possession: 54% - 45% Cards: 0 - 1

4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Merreikh II 59 / 100

Hay Al Wadi 16 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Al-Merreikh II Hay Al Wadi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Merreikh II Win (1)

Secondary Pick Al-Merreikh II & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.2%

1.92

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.7%

2.44

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al-Merreikh II attacking → ← attacking Hay Al Wadi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Merreikh II scored in 65% of their last 17 games.

Hay Al Wadi let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Al-Merreikh II went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Hay Al Wadi lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 38

3.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al-Hilal Omdurman II	7	7	0	0	16:1	21
2	Al-Merreikh II	7	6	0	1	21:4	18
3	Hilal Alsahil	7	3	2	2	10:6	11
4	Madani	7	3	2	2	13:11	11
5	Umm Mughad	7	3	0	4	10:15	9
6	Hilal El-Fasher	7	1	2	4	4:7	5
7	Hay Al Wadi	7	1	2	4	6:14	5
8	Alfalah Atbra	7	0	0	7	2:24	0