Sport Picks
Al-Merreikh vs El-Ahli Atbara
Sudan
Premier League 2019/2020 Al Merreikh Stadium 
AI Match Summary
Al-Merreikh play El-Ahli Atbara in the Premier League 2019/2020. Al-Merreikh are favorites here. Recently, Al-Merreikh averaged 1.61 goals scored and 0.68 conceded. El-Ahli Atbara averaged 0.86 goals scored and 2.34 conceded. In past meetings, Al-Merreikh won 4, El-Ahli Atbara won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 6, 2020 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Al-Merreikh and 1.00 for El-Ahli Atbara. This points to a Al-Merreikh double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Al-Merreikh picked up more points recently compared to El-Ahli Atbara.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al-Merreikh | El-Ahli Atbara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 44 | 29 |
| Wins | 25 | 4 |
| Draws | 14 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.68 | 2.34 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al-Merreikh scored in 61% of their last 44 games.
El-Ahli Atbara let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 4.40 goals.
Al-Merreikh went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
El-Ahli Atbara lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Merreikh | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 60:17 | 74 |
| 2 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 62:19 | 69 |
| 3 | Hilal El Obied | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 49:24 | 58 |
| 4 | Alamal SC Atbara | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 43:29 | 53 |
| 5 | Hay Al Wadi | 32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 29:22 | 49 |
| 6 | Hay al-Arab | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 38:42 | 49 |
| 7 | Merreikh El-Fasher | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 38:30 | 48 |
| 8 | Al-Khartoum | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 30:18 | 46 |
| 9 | Ahli Shendi | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 42:35 | 44 |
| 10 | Al-Ahly Merowe | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 28:35 | 41 |
| 11 | Ahli Khartoum | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 37:41 | 39 |
| 12 | Hilal El-Fasher | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 28:39 | 37 |
| 13 | Al Hilal Kadougli | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 29:46 | 32 |
| 14 | Al Shorta | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 33:52 | 32 |
| 15 | Alfalah Atbra | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | 30 |
| 16 | Rabita Kosti | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 27:58 | 26 |
| 17 | El-Ahli Atbara | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 26:73 | 17 |