Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Merreikh vs Hilal El Obied

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2021/2022 Al Merreikh Stadium, Omdurman
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2021/2022 game between Al-Merreikh and Hilal El Obied finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Merreikh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Al-Merreikh
40%
Draws
29%
Hilal El Obied
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al-Merreikh come out ahead of Hilal El Obied on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al-Merreikh have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Al-Merreikh Clean Sheet 20%
Hilal El Obied Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Merreikh Hilal El Obied
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 11 5
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2022 Premier League
Al-Merreikh vs Hilal El Obied
4:0
Apr 25, 2022 Premier League
Hilal El Obied vs Al-Merreikh
0:2
Sep 22, 2021 Premier League
Hilal El Obied vs Al-Merreikh
0:2
Jan 19, 2021 Premier League
Al-Merreikh vs Hilal El Obied
3:1
Oct 4, 2020 Premier League
Al-Merreikh vs Hilal El Obied
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Merreikh 32 / 100
Hilal El Obied 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Merreikh Hilal El Obied

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hilal El Obied's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Al-Merreikh scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Al-Merreikh went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Merreikh VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Merreikh

(Home)
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1
Al-Merreikh
27 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 2
APR
22 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
17 May
Amagaju
1 : 0
Al-Merreikh
10 May
Al-Merreikh
0 : 1
Kiyovu
Page 1 of 7

Hilal El Obied

(Away)
26 Jul
Hilal El Obied
0 : 0
Hilal El-Fasher
22 Jul
Hilal El Obied
3 : 1
Al-Khartoum
19 Jul
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 3
Hilal El Obied
15 Jul
Hilal El Obied
1 : 2
Wad Nobawi
12 Jul
Hay Al Wadi
2 : 1
Hilal El Obied
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman30245159:1377
2Al-Merreikh30228056:1174
3Hilal Alsahil30139842:3148
4Ahli Shendi301261226:2742
5Ahli Khartoum301171222:2440
6Hilal El-Fasher3010101026:2840
7Kober309101129:3137
8Wad Nobawi308121023:2936
9Al-Ahly Merowe308111134:4035
10Tuti308101221:2934
11Hay al-Arab307131019:2134
12Hay Al Wadi308101223:3034
13Alamal SC Atbara307121122:3533
14Al Shorta30881427:3732
15Hilal El Obied30851723:4029
16Al-Khartoum30581732:5823
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2022/2023 (Qualification)