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Al Mesaimeer vs Al Bidda

Qatar Qatar

Division 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Thiam I.
29'
Sidklev F.
61' Event
Thiam I.

AI Match Summary

Al Mesaimeer in this Division 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Mesaimeer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Al Mesaimeer
20%
Draws
47%
Al Bidda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Bidda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Mesaimeer haven't matched Al Bidda's recent run of results.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Al Mesaimeer Clean Sheet 18%
Al Bidda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Mesaimeer Al Bidda
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 QSL 2
Al Mesaimeer vs Al Bidda
3:0
Sep 17, 2025 QSL 2
Al Bidda vs Al Mesaimeer
2:1
Feb 14, 2025 QSL 2
Al Mesaimeer vs Al Bidda
2:2
Oct 3, 2024 QSL 2
Al Bidda vs Al Mesaimeer
2:1
Feb 21, 2024 QSL 2
Al Bidda vs Al Mesaimeer
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Mesaimeer Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiam I.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Al Bidda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Mesaimeer 32 / 100
Al Bidda 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Mesaimeer Al Bidda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Bidda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Mesaimeer found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Al Bidda conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Al Mesaimeer remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Mesaimeer VS Al Bidda
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Mesaimeer

(Home)
08 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 1
Al-Kharitiyath
30 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 2
Umm-Salal
24 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 0
Muaither SC
30 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 3
Muaither SC
25 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
3 : 0
Al-Waab
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Al Bidda

(Away)
08 Sept
Shamal 2
0 : 3
Al Bidda
31 Aug
Al Bidda
2 : 0
Qatar U23
23 Aug
Al Bidda
1 : 1
Al-Gharafa 2
30 Apr
Lusail
1 : 2
Al Bidda
25 Apr
Al Khor
2 : 1
Al Bidda
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusail 14 9 2 3 28:14 29
2 Al-Kharitiyath 14 7 4 3 23:11 25
3 Al Markhiya 14 6 5 3 24:18 23
4 Muaither SC 14 6 3 5 26:28 21
5 Al Mesaimeer 14 5 2 7 19:21 17
6 Al Khor 14 4 5 5 21:25 17
7 Al-Waab 14 3 3 8 15:25 12
8 Al Bidda 14 3 2 9 13:27 11
Promotion - QSL (Main)
Promotion - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)