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Al Mesaimeer vs Al-Waab

Qatar Qatar

Division 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Mesaimeer play Al-Waab in the Division 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Mesaimeer averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Al-Waab averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Al Mesaimeer won 3, Al-Waab won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Al Mesaimeer and 1.00 for Al-Waab. This points to a Al-Waab double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Al Mesaimeer
40%
Draws
30%
Al-Waab
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Al-Waab

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Mesaimeer picked up more points recently compared to Al-Waab.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Al Mesaimeer Clean Sheet 23%
Al-Waab Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Mesaimeer Al-Waab
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.53 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Division 2
Al Mesaimeer vs Al-Waab
3:0
Jan 26, 2026 QSL Cup
Al-Waab vs Al Mesaimeer
3:1
Dec 21, 2025 Division 2
Al-Waab vs Al Mesaimeer
2:4
Sep 1, 2025 QSL Cup
Al-Waab vs Al Mesaimeer
1:1
Feb 4, 2025 Division 2
Al-Waab vs Al Mesaimeer
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Mesaimeer Compare

Top Goalscorer Brimil I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thiam I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Al-Waab Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Mesaimeer 32 / 100
Al-Waab 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Mesaimeer Al-Waab

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al-Waab or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Mesaimeer attacking → ← attacking Al-Waab

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Mesaimeer scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Al-Waab let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Al Mesaimeer went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Al-Waab lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 36
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lusail1492328:1429
2Al-Kharitiyath1474323:1125
3Al Markhiya1465324:1823
4Muaither SC1463526:2821
5Al Mesaimeer1452719:2117
6Al Khor1445521:2517
7Al-Waab1433815:2512
8Al Bidda1432913:2711