Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Minaa vs Al Mosul

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Atiemwen I.
57' Event
Al-Abidin Jasim Z.

AI Match Summary

Al Minaa in this Stars League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Minaa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Al Minaa
30%
Draws
23%
Al Mosul
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Minaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Mosul lately — more wins on the board than Al Minaa.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Al Minaa Clean Sheet 68%
Al Mosul Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Minaa Al Mosul
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 9
Draws 11 13
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Al Mosul
1:0
Feb 21, 2026 Stars League
Al Mosul vs Al Minaa
2:1
Feb 14, 2003 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Al Mosul
4:1
Sep 27, 2002 Stars League
Al Mosul vs Al Minaa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Minaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Al-Abidin Jasim Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Al Mosul Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Minaa 41 / 100
Al Mosul 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Minaa Al Mosul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Minaa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Mosul has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Attacking prowess: Al Minaa scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Al Mosul lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Minaa VS Al Mosul
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Minaa

(Home)
18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Duhok
13 Sept
Al Kahraba
2 : 1
Al Minaa
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Naft Missan
05 Sept
Al Minaa
0 : 3
Al Naft
31 Aug
Erbil
2 : 0
Al Minaa
Page 1 of 6

Al Mosul

(Away)
18 Sept
Al Mosul
0 : 1
Al Naft
13 Sept
Zakho
2 : 1
Al Mosul
09 Sept
Newroz
3 : 0
Al Mosul
03 Sept
Al Mosul
2 : 2
Al Zawraa
30 Aug
Al Shorta
2 : 0
Al Mosul
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al-Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al-Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)