Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Minaa vs Al Mosul

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Atiemwen I.
57' Event
Al-Abidin Jasim Z.

AI Match Summary

Al Minaa in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Minaa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Al Minaa
20%
Draws
38%
Al Mosul
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Minaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Mosul lately — more wins on the board than Al Minaa.
  • Model gives Al Minaa a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Al Minaa Clean Sheet 17%
Al Mosul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Minaa Al Mosul
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 11 13
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Al Mosul
1:0
Feb 21, 2026 Stars League
Al Mosul vs Al Minaa
2:1
Feb 14, 2003 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Al Mosul
4:1
Sep 27, 2002 Stars League
Al Mosul vs Al Minaa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Minaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Al-Abidin Jasim Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Al Mosul Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Minaa 41 / 100
Al Mosul 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Minaa Al Mosul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Mosul has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Al Minaa has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Al Minaa scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Al Minaa VS Al Mosul
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Minaa

(Home)
02 Jun
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Al Minaa
28 May
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Al Talaba
24 May
Al Minaa
2 : 2
Zakho
20 May
Al Minaa
1 : 0
Al Mosul
14 May
Al Naft
1 : 1
Al Minaa
Page 1 of 6

Al Mosul

(Away)
01 Jun
Al Mosul
3 : 0
Al-Qassim
27 May
Newroz
1 : 1
Al Mosul
20 May
Al Minaa
1 : 0
Al Mosul
15 May
Al Mosul
3 : 3
Duhok
11 May
Al Mosul
2 : 2
Al Talaba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)