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Al Minaa vs Al Zawraa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Tomiwa Gbadamosi I.
78' Event
Kadhim R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Al Zawraa in this Stars League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Zawraa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Al Minaa
30%
Draws
58%
Al Zawraa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Zawraa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Minaa haven't matched Al Zawraa's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Al Zawraa's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Al Minaa Clean Sheet 17%
Al Zawraa Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Minaa Al Zawraa
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 8 16
Draws 10 11
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.14 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Minaa
0:0
May 10, 2026 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Al Zawraa
0:2
Dec 28, 2025 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Minaa
2:0
Jun 25, 2025 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Minaa
2:1
Feb 26, 2025 Iraq Cup
Al Minaa vs Al Zawraa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Minaa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Al Zawraa Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomiwa Gbadamosi I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Minaa 12 / 100
Al Zawraa 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Minaa Al Zawraa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Zawraa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Minaa found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Al Zawraa has conceded goals in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Al Minaa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Minaa VS Al Zawraa
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Minaa

(Home)
18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Duhok
13 Sept
Al Kahraba
2 : 1
Al Minaa
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Naft Missan
05 Sept
Al Minaa
0 : 3
Al Naft
31 Aug
Erbil
2 : 0
Al Minaa
Page 1 of 6

Al Zawraa

(Away)
08 Oct
Duhok
3 : 0
Al Zawraa
17 Sept
Al Zawraa
2 : 0
Al Gharraf
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1
Al Zawraa
07 Sept
Al Zawraa
1 : 0
Al Kahraba
03 Sept
Al Mosul
2 : 2
Al Zawraa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)