Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Minaa vs Karbala

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Ahmed S.
40' Event
Hamid A.
82' Event
Tarek A.

AI Match Summary

Al Minaa in this Stars League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Minaa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Al Minaa
35%
Draws
19%
Karbala
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Minaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Karbala haven't matched Al Minaa's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Al Minaa a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Stars League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Al Minaa Clean Sheet 68%
Karbala Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Minaa Karbala
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 7 2
Draws 12 5
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 1 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2025 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Karbala
3:1
Oct 25, 2024 Stars League
Karbala vs Al Minaa
1:0
Apr 21, 2024 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Karbala
1:1
Dec 29, 2023 Stars League
Karbala vs Al Minaa
1:2
Apr 13, 2018 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Karbala
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Minaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmed S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hamid A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Karbala Compare

Top Goalscorer Tarek A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Minaa 86 / 100
Karbala 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Minaa Karbala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Karbala conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Al Minaa remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Al Minaa scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Al Minaa VS Karbala
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Minaa

(Home)
02 Jun
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Al Minaa
28 May
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Al Talaba
24 May
Al Minaa
2 : 2
Zakho
20 May
Al Minaa
1 : 0
Al Mosul
14 May
Al Naft
1 : 1
Al Minaa
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Karbala

(Away)
08 Jun
Baghdad
0 : 1
Karbala
04 Jul
Karbala
2 : 3
Al-Hudod
27 Jun
Karbala
2 : 4
Al Naft
18 Jun
Newroz
1 : 0
Karbala
13 Jun
Karbala
0 : 2
Al-Karma
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shorta 38 26 9 3 75:23 87
2 Al Zawraa 38 23 8 7 56:28 77
3 Zakho 38 20 11 7 57:25 71
4 Al Talaba 38 18 9 11 40:27 63
5 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 17 9 12 51:43 60
6 Al Naft 38 15 14 9 32:27 59
7 Duhok 38 16 9 13 47:41 57
8 Al-Karma 38 15 11 12 43:35 56
9 Newroz 38 14 11 13 46:41 53
10 Al-Qassim 38 13 13 12 43:43 52
11 Naft Missan 38 14 9 15 42:46 51
12 Erbil 38 15 5 18 49:61 50
13 Al Kahraba 38 12 13 13 39:41 49
14 Al Najaf 38 11 13 14 37:36 46
15 Al Karkh 38 12 10 16 40:49 46
16 Al Minaa 38 11 10 17 39:44 43
17 Diyala 38 10 11 17 31:50 41
18 Naft Al-Basra 38 8 9 21 32:57 33
19 Al-Hudod 38 8 2 28 37:79 26
20 Karbala 38 4 10 24 26:66 22
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2024/2025 (Relegation)