Sport Picks
Al Minaa vs Naft Missan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Iraq
Stars League 
Match Events
52'
52'
Gueye Dieme D.
Assist: Abdul F.
90'
90'
Samia Y.
Assist: Youssef F.
AI Match Summary
The Stars League game between Al Minaa and Naft Missan finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
35%
46%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Naft Missan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
19%
/ Low Confidence
- Naft Missan carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Al Minaa's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Al Minaa Clean Sheet 68%
Naft Missan Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Minaa | Naft Missan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 8 |
| Draws | 11 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 9, 2026 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Naft Missan
1:1
Apr 5, 2026 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Naft Missan
0:1
Sep 14, 2025 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Al Minaa
1:3
Jun 13, 2025 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Al Minaa
2:0
Jan 2, 2025 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Naft Missan
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Minaa Compare
Top Goalscorer Samia Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Naft Missan Compare
Top Goalscorer Gueye Dieme D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Minaa 68 / 100
Naft Missan 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Minaa Naft Missan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Minaa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Minaa's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Naft Missan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Al Minaa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Al Minaa VS Naft Missan
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Minaa
(Home) 18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1 Duhok
13 Sept
Al Kahraba
2 : 1 Al Minaa
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1 Naft Missan
05 Sept
Al Minaa
0 : 3 Al Naft
31 Aug
Erbil
2 : 0 Al Minaa
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1 Duhok
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1 Naft Missan
05 Sept
Al Minaa
0 : 3 Al Naft
26 Aug
Al Minaa
3 : 0 Al Gharraf
20 Aug
Al Minaa
2 : 1 Zakho
Page 1 of 3
Naft Missan
(Away) 08 Oct
Naft Missan
1 : 1 Erbil
17 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2 Naft Missan
13 Sept
Naft Missan
2 : 0 Al Talaba
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1 Naft Missan
04 Sept
Naft Missan
0 : 2 Newroz
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2 Naft Missan
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1 Naft Missan
29 Aug
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1 Naft Missan
25 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0 Naft Missan
02 Jun
Al Gharraf
0 : 2 Naft Missan
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Karma | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:5 | 20 |
| 2 | Al Zawraa | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Erbil | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:4 | 18 |
| 4 | Al Shorta | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9:4 | 16 |
| 5 | Newroz | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:4 | 15 |
| 6 | Al Naft | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 15 |
| 7 | Duhok | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 9 | Al Golan | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 10 | Diyala | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | 9 |
| 11 | Al Minaa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 12 | Zakho | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 13 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4:5 | 8 |
| 14 | Al Talaba | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 15 | Naft Missan | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:12 | 8 |
| 16 | Al Mosul | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 17 | Al Karkh | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 18 | Al Kahraba | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:10 | 7 |
| 19 | Al Gharraf | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:12 | 5 |
| 20 | Karbala | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:15 | 5 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)
