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Al Minaa vs Zakho Prediction & H2H Stats

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Samia Y.
45' Event
Orinho
80' Event
Jaulu H.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Al Minaa and Zakho finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Minaa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Al Minaa
35%
Draws
46%
Zakho
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zakho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

19% / Low Confidence
  • Zakho carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Al Minaa Clean Sheet 68%
Zakho Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Minaa Zakho
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Zakho
2:1
Jun 5, 2026 Iraq Cup
Al Minaa vs Zakho
0:0
May 24, 2026 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Zakho
2:2
Feb 1, 2026 Stars League
Zakho vs Al Minaa
1:1
Mar 3, 2025 Stars League
Zakho vs Al Minaa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Minaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Samia Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jaulu H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Zakho Compare

Top Goalscorer Orinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Minaa 41 / 100
Zakho 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Minaa Zakho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Minaa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Minaa scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Zakho has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Al Minaa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Minaa VS Zakho
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Minaa

(Home)
18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Duhok
13 Sept
Al Kahraba
2 : 1
Al Minaa
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Naft Missan
05 Sept
Al Minaa
0 : 3
Al Naft
31 Aug
Erbil
2 : 0
Al Minaa
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Zakho

(Away)
19 Sept
Al-Karma
1 : 0
Zakho
13 Sept
Zakho
2 : 1
Al Mosul
09 Sept
Al Golan
1 : 1
Zakho
05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0
Al Talaba
29 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0
Zakho
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Al Zawraa 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
3 Erbil 8 5 2 1 12:3 17
4 Newroz 8 4 3 1 13:4 15
5 Al Shorta 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
6 Al Naft 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
7 Al Golan 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
8 Duhok 8 1 6 1 11:11 9
9 Diyala 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
10 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Zakho 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 8 1 5 2 11:12 8
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Mosul 8 2 2 4 9:12 8
15 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
16 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Al Talaba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
18 Naft Missan 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
19 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)