Sport Picks
Al Mosul vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Iraq
Stars League 
Match Events
31'
31'
Jouini H.
Assist: Hanoon R.
37'
37'
Jawad M.
Assist: Jouini H.
54'
54'
Jouini H.
Assist: Abdulameer S.
AI Match Summary
The Stars League game between Al Mosul and Al Quwa Al Jawiya finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Quwa Al Jawiya.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
10%
20%
70%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Al Quwa Al Jawiya come out ahead of Al Mosul on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Al Quwa Al Jawiya's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Al Quwa Al Jawiya here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Al Mosul Clean Sheet 19%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Mosul | Al Quwa Al Jawiya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 12 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 7, 2026 Stars League
Al Mosul vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:3
May 6, 2026 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Mosul
2:1
Feb 1, 2026 Stars League
Al Mosul vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:1
May 4, 2010 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Mosul
2:1
Jan 5, 2010 Stars League
Al Mosul vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Mosul Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Compare
Top Goalscorer Jouini H.
2 Goals Assists Leader Jawad M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Mosul 12 / 100
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Mosul Al Quwa Al Jawiya
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Quwa Al Jawiya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Mosul's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Al Quwa Al Jawiya has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Al Mosul remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Al Mosul VS Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Mosul
(Home) 07 Oct
Al Mosul
0 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
18 Sept
Al Mosul
0 : 1 Al Naft
13 Sept
Zakho
2 : 1 Al Mosul
09 Sept
Newroz
3 : 0 Al Mosul
03 Sept
Al Mosul
2 : 2 Al Zawraa
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Al Mosul
0 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
18 Sept
Al Mosul
0 : 1 Al Naft
03 Sept
Al Mosul
2 : 2 Al Zawraa
26 Aug
Al Mosul
3 : 0 Karbala
21 Aug
Al Mosul
2 : 1 Diyala
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Al Quwa Al Jawiya
(Away) 07 Oct
Al Mosul
0 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
19 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1 Diyala
14 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1 Al Zawraa
07 Sept
Karbala
2 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Al Mosul
0 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
14 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
07 Sept
Karbala
2 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
03 Sept
Duhok
2 : 1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
21 Aug
Erbil
1 : 1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Karma | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:5 | 20 |
| 2 | Newroz | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:4 | 18 |
| 3 | Al Zawraa | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:6 | 18 |
| 4 | Erbil | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:4 | 18 |
| 5 | Al Naft | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11:5 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Shorta | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9:4 | 16 |
| 7 | Duhok | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 9 | Al Golan | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8:9 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Minaa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 11 | Diyala | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 12 | Zakho | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:12 | 9 |
| 13 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4:5 | 8 |
| 14 | Al Talaba | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 15 | Naft Missan | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:12 | 8 |
| 16 | Al Mosul | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 17 | Al Karkh | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 18 | Al Kahraba | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:10 | 7 |
| 19 | Al Gharraf | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4:12 | 6 |
| 20 | Karbala | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:15 | 5 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)
