Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Ghazi I.
(Penalty)
46'
46'
Hadi S.
56'
56'
Gwargis P.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Stars League 2025/2026 game between Al Mosul and Duhok finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
35%
56%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Duhok
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Al Mosul's 1.35 goals per match outpaces what Duhok have produced (1.31).
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Al Mosul Clean Sheet 19%
Duhok Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Mosul | Duhok |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 13 | 13 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 15, 2026 Stars League
Al Mosul vs Duhok
3:3
Feb 13, 2026 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Mosul
0:0
Jun 12, 2011 Stars League
Al Mosul vs Duhok
1:2
Feb 13, 2011 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Mosul
2:1
May 12, 2010 Stars League
Al Mosul vs Duhok
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Mosul Compare
Top Goalscorer Bashiru U.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Duhok Compare
Top Goalscorer Hadi S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Mosul 32 / 100
Duhok 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Mosul Duhok
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Duhok Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Duhok let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.
Attacking prowess: Al Mosul scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Al Mosul went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Al Mosul VS Duhok
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Mosul
(Home) 18 Sept
Al Mosul
0 : 1 Al Naft
13 Sept
Zakho
2 : 1 Al Mosul
09 Sept
Newroz
3 : 0 Al Mosul
03 Sept
Al Mosul
2 : 2 Al Zawraa
30 Aug
Al Shorta
2 : 0 Al Mosul
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
Al Mosul
0 : 1 Al Naft
03 Sept
Al Mosul
2 : 2 Al Zawraa
26 Aug
Al Mosul
3 : 0 Karbala
21 Aug
Al Mosul
2 : 1 Diyala
01 Jun
Al Mosul
3 : 0 Al-Qassim
Page 1 of 4
Duhok
(Away) 18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1 Duhok
13 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2 Duhok
08 Sept
Duhok
1 : 1 Ghaz Al Shamal
03 Sept
Duhok
2 : 1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
30 Aug
Newroz
0 : 0 Duhok
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1 Duhok
13 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2 Duhok
30 Aug
Newroz
0 : 0 Duhok
26 Aug
Al Naft
1 : 1 Duhok
01 Jun
Diyala
1 : 0 Duhok
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 62:28 | 89 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 69:32 | 80 |
| 3 | Erbil | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 59:32 | 79 |
| 4 | Al Zawraa | 38 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 50:32 | 66 |
| 5 | Al-Karma | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 53:26 | 65 |
| 6 | Al Talaba | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 53:38 | 65 |
| 7 | Al Karkh | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51:41 | 60 |
| 8 | Newroz | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 48:47 | 54 |
| 9 | Zakho | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 49:45 | 53 |
| 10 | Duhok | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 44:45 | 50 |
| 11 | Diyala | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40:42 | 49 |
| 12 | Al Naft | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 33:34 | 48 |
| 13 | Al Mosul | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 46:49 | 47 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 40:43 | 44 |
| 15 | Naft Missan | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 48:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Al Minaa | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 38:47 | 40 |
| 17 | Al Kahraba | 37 | 11 | 5 | 21 | 44:56 | 38 |
| 18 | Baghdad | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 47:68 | 37 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 31:68 | 23 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 38 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 21:96 | 6 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
