Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Ghazi I.
(Penalty)
46'
46'
Hadi S.
56'
56'
Gwargis P.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Stars League game between Al Mosul and Duhok finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Duhok come out ahead of Al Mosul on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Al Mosul Clean Sheet 68%
Duhok Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Mosul | Duhok |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 13 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 15, 2026 Stars League
Al Mosul vs Duhok
3:3
Feb 13, 2026 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Mosul
0:0
Jun 12, 2011 Stars League
Al Mosul vs Duhok
1:2
Feb 13, 2011 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Mosul
2:1
May 12, 2010 Stars League
Al Mosul vs Duhok
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Mosul Compare
Top Goalscorer Bashiru U.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Duhok Compare
Top Goalscorer Hadi S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Mosul 41 / 100
Duhok 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Mosul Duhok
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MOS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Mosul scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Duhok has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Al Mosul went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Al Mosul VS Duhok
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Mosul
(Home) 01 Jun
Al Mosul
3 : 0 Al-Qassim
27 May
Newroz
1 : 1 Al Mosul
20 May
Al Minaa
1 : 0 Al Mosul
15 May
Al Mosul
3 : 3 Duhok
11 May
Al Mosul
2 : 2 Al Talaba
Page 1 of 6
01 Jun
Al Mosul
3 : 0 Al-Qassim
15 May
Al Mosul
3 : 3 Duhok
11 May
Al Mosul
2 : 2 Al Talaba
02 May
Al Mosul
1 : 1 Al Gharraf
22 Apr
Al Mosul
0 : 0 Al Naft
Page 1 of 3
Duhok
(Away) 20 Jul
Duhok
2 : 0 Tikves
01 Jun
Diyala
1 : 0 Duhok
27 May
Duhok
1 : 2 Al Kahraba
19 May
Al Naft
1 : 1 Duhok
15 May
Al Mosul
3 : 3 Duhok
Page 1 of 6
01 Jun
Diyala
1 : 0 Duhok
19 May
Al Naft
1 : 1 Duhok
15 May
Al Mosul
3 : 3 Duhok
01 May
Al Zawraa
2 : 2 Duhok
27 Apr
Al Najaf
1 : 2 Duhok
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 62:28 | 89 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 69:32 | 80 |
| 3 | Erbil | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 59:32 | 79 |
| 4 | Al Zawraa | 38 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 50:32 | 66 |
| 5 | Al-Karma | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 53:26 | 65 |
| 6 | Al Talaba | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 53:38 | 65 |
| 7 | Al Karkh | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51:41 | 60 |
| 8 | Newroz | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 48:47 | 54 |
| 9 | Zakho | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 49:45 | 53 |
| 10 | Duhok | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 44:45 | 50 |
| 11 | Diyala | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40:42 | 49 |
| 12 | Al Naft | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 33:34 | 48 |
| 13 | Al Mosul | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 46:49 | 47 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 40:43 | 44 |
| 15 | Naft Missan | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 48:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Al Minaa | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 38:47 | 40 |
| 17 | Al Kahraba | 37 | 11 | 5 | 21 | 44:56 | 38 |
| 18 | Baghdad | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 47:68 | 37 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 31:68 | 23 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 38 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 21:96 | 6 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)
