Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Msnaa vs Al Nahda

Oman Oman

Sultan Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Al Habsi H.
27' Event
Al Tamtami A.
29'
Al Saadi D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Al-Msnaa
30%
Draws
70%
Al Nahda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Nahda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Nahda lately — more wins on the board than Al-Msnaa.
  • Win probability leans Al Nahda's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Al Nahda arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Nahda, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Al Nahda here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Al-Msnaa Clean Sheet 23%
Al Nahda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Msnaa Al Nahda
Matches Played 28 42
Wins 8 21
Draws 9 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.82 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.98
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Professional League
Al Nahda vs Al-Msnaa
1:0
Aug 19, 2026 FA Cup
Al Nahda vs Al-Msnaa
3:1
Dec 29, 2025 Sultan Cup
Al-Msnaa vs Al Nahda
1:3
May 19, 2023 Professional League
Al Nahda vs Al-Msnaa
3:0
Dec 8, 2022 Professional League
Al-Msnaa vs Al Nahda
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Msnaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Lamki M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al Nahda Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Habsi H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Tamtami A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Msnaa 16 / 100
Al Nahda 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Msnaa Al Nahda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nahda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nahda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 42 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Al-Msnaa scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al-Msnaa VS Al Nahda
0.17 Goals Scored 1
1.17 Goals Conceded 1.38
33% Over 1.5 50%
17% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Msnaa

(Home)
12 Sept
Al Nasr
2 : 0
Al-Msnaa
06 Sept
Al-Msnaa
0 : 1
Oman Club
30 Aug
Al Nahda
1 : 0
Al-Msnaa
19 Aug
Al Nahda
3 : 1
Al-Msnaa
29 Dec
Al-Msnaa
1 : 3
Al Nahda
Page 1 of 6

Al Nahda

(Away)
16 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Taawon
10 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Seeb
05 Sept
Al-Shabab
2 : 3
Al Nahda
30 Aug
Al Nahda
1 : 0
Al-Msnaa
24 Aug
Al-Shabab
1 : 1
Al Nahda
Page 1 of 9

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Al-Shabab -
TBD -
Nizwa 1
Dhofar 3
Al-Mudhaibi 2
Al-Wahda 3
TBD -
Oman Club -
Al Khaboora -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Nasr -
Al-Rustaq -
TBD -
TBD -
Sohar -
Al Seeb -
TBD -
Jaalan 2
Salalah SC 1
Al-Samail 0
Muscat 2
TBD -
Saham -
Bahla -
TBD -
Ibri 0
Sur Club 1
Al-Msnaa 2
Fanja SC 1
TBD -
Al Nahda -
1/8-finals
Al-Shabab 0
Dhofar 1
Al-Wahda 1
Oman Club 2
Al Khaboora 1
Al Nasr 2
Al-Rustaq 1
Sohar 2
Al Seeb 2
Jaalan 0
Muscat 0
Saham 1
Bahla 1
Sur Club 2
Al-Msnaa 1
Al Nahda 3
Quarter-finals
Dhofar 0
Oman Club 1
Al Nasr 1
Sohar 0
Al Seeb 6
Saham 4
Sur Club 2
Al Nahda 6
Semi-finals
Oman Club 3
Al Nasr 1
Al Seeb 1
Al Nahda 2
Final
Oman Club 0
Al Nahda 2