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Al Muharraq vs Al Najma Prediction & H2H Stats

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Arthur Rezende
54' Event
Juninho Piauiense

AI Match Summary

Al Muharraq in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Muharraq.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Al Muharraq
15%
Draws
59%
Al Najma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Najma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Muharraq lately — more wins on the board than Al Najma.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Al Muharraq taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Al Muharraq Clean Sheet 18%
Al Najma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Muharraq Al Najma
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 23 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Premier League
Al Najma vs Al Muharraq
1:3
Dec 28, 2025 Premier League
Al Muharraq vs Al Najma
2:0
Apr 21, 2025 Premier League
Al Muharraq vs Al Najma
2:0
Oct 26, 2024 Premier League
Al Najma vs Al Muharraq
0:0
May 14, 2024 Premier League
Al Najma vs Al Muharraq
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Muharraq Compare

Top Goalscorer Arthur Rezende
1 Goals
Assists Leader Juninho Piauiense
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Al Najma Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Muharraq 36 / 100
Al Najma 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Muharraq Al Najma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Muharraq's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Al Najma has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Al Muharraq went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Muharraq VS Al Najma
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Muharraq

(Home)
15 Sept
Arkadag
1 : 0
Al Muharraq
10 Sept
Al Muharraq
3 : 1
Manama Club
04 Sept
Al Ittifaq
1 : 0
Al Muharraq
28 Aug
Al Muharraq
1 : 1
Al Ahli
06 Aug
ZED FC
1 : 0
Al Muharraq
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Al Najma

(Away)
11 Sept
Al Najma
2 : 3
East Riffa
02 Sept
Malkia
0 : 1
Al Najma
27 Aug
Al Najma
2 : 7
Al Khalidiyah
30 May
Al Najma
3 : 2
Manama Club
25 May
Al Budaiya
0 : 3
Al Najma
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Muharraq 22 17 4 1 45:7 55
2 Al Khalidiyah 22 18 0 4 42:16 54
3 Al Riffa 22 15 4 3 41:17 49
4 Malkia 22 9 6 7 23:16 33
5 Aali Club 22 9 4 9 19:20 31
6 Al Hidd 22 8 6 8 29:23 30
7 Al Ahli 22 7 6 9 28:28 27
8 Sitra 22 7 6 9 22:31 27
9 Al Budaiya 22 6 4 12 24:34 22
10 Al Najma 22 6 4 12 21:35 22
11 Al Shabbab 22 3 5 14 8:34 14
12 Bahrain SC 22 2 1 19 15:56 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)