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Al-Muharraq vs Al-Najma

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Arthur Rezende
54' Event
Juninho Piauiense

AI Match Summary

Al-Muharraq in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al-Muharraq.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Al-Muharraq
28%
Draws
22%
Al-Najma
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Al-Muharraq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al-Muharraq lately — more wins on the board than Al-Najma.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Al-Muharraq taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Al-Muharraq Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Najma Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Muharraq Al-Najma
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 21 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Premier League
Al-Najma vs Al-Muharraq
1:3
Dec 28, 2025 Premier League
Al-Muharraq vs Al-Najma
2:0
Apr 21, 2025 Premier League
Al-Muharraq vs Al-Najma
2:0
Oct 26, 2024 Premier League
Al-Najma vs Al-Muharraq
0:0
May 14, 2024 Premier League
Al-Najma vs Al-Muharraq
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Muharraq Compare

Top Goalscorer Arthur Rezende
1 Goals
Assists Leader Juninho Piauiense
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Al-Najma Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Muharraq 49 / 100
Al-Najma 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Muharraq Al-Najma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Najma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Al-Muharraq has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al-Muharraq scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Al-Muharraq VS Al-Najma
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Muharraq22174145:755
2Al Khalidiyah22180442:1654
3Al Riffa22154341:1749
4Malkia2296723:1633
5Aali Club2294919:2031
6Al-Hidd2286829:2330
7Al-Ahli2276928:2827
8Sitra2276922:3127
9Al-Budaiya22641224:3422
10Al-Najma22641221:3522
11Al-Shabbab2235148:3414
12Bahrain SC22211915:567