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Al-Muharraq vs Al-Shabbab

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Mahrouq S.
47' Event
Abdulkarim H.
71' Event
Mahrouq S.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al-Muharraq and Al-Shabbab finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Muharraq.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al-Muharraq
6%
Draws
4%
Al-Shabbab
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al-Muharraq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al-Shabbab haven't matched Al-Muharraq's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Al-Muharraq taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al-Muharraq here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Al-Muharraq Clean Sheet 68%
Al-Shabbab Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Muharraq Al-Shabbab
Matches Played 35 35
Wins 24 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 2.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 King's Cup
Al-Muharraq vs Al-Shabbab
3:0
Jan 27, 2026 Premier League
Al-Muharraq vs Al-Shabbab
3:0
Sep 21, 2025 Premier League
Al-Shabbab vs Al-Muharraq
0:3
Mar 4, 2025 Premier League
Al-Shabbab vs Al-Muharraq
1:2
Feb 27, 2025 King's Cup
Al-Shabbab vs Al-Muharraq
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Muharraq Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahrouq S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Abdulkarim H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Al-Shabbab Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Muharraq 95 / 100
Al-Shabbab 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Muharraq Al-Shabbab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Muharraq has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al-Muharraq's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Al-Shabbab let in goals in 66% of their last 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Al-Muharraq VS Al-Shabbab
2.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Muharraq

(Home)
16 May
Al-Muharraq
1 : 0
Aali Club
11 May
Al Khalidiyah
1 : 2
Al-Muharraq
04 May
Al-Najma
1 : 3
Al-Muharraq
29 Apr
Al-Muharraq
1 : 0
Al-Budaiya
24 Apr
Al-Muharraq
2 : 1
Al Riffa
Page 1 of 7

Al-Shabbab

(Away)
15 May
Al-Hidd
1 : 0
Al-Shabbab
10 May
Al-Shabbab
1 : 3
Sitra
05 May
Al Riffa
4 : 0
Al-Shabbab
28 Apr
Al-Shabbab
1 : 0
Bahrain SC
18 Apr
Malkia
1 : 0
Al-Shabbab
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Muharraq22174145:755
2Al Khalidiyah22180442:1654
3Al Riffa22154341:1749
4Malkia2296723:1633
5Aali Club2294919:2031
6Al-Hidd2286829:2330
7Al-Ahli2276928:2827
8Sitra2276922:3127
9Al-Budaiya22641224:3422
10Al-Najma22641221:3522
11Al-Shabbab2235148:3414
12Bahrain SC22211915:567
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)