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Al Muharraq vs Sitra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Muharraq host Sitra in the Premier League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Al Muharraq have averaged 2.38 scored and 0.62 conceded recently, against Sitra's 1.17 scored and 1.22 conceded. Head-to-head, Al Muharraq have won 4 to Sitra's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.00, favoring Al Muharraq. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Al Muharraq
30%
Draws
23%
Sitra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Muharraq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Muharraq have won more games recently than Sitra.
  • Model gives Al Muharraq a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Muharraq have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Al Muharraq Clean Sheet 20%
Sitra Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Muharraq Sitra
Matches Played 45 41
Wins 34 14
Draws 6 12
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 2.38 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.62 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Premier League
Al Muharraq vs Sitra
3:0
Jan 6, 2026 Premier League
Sitra vs Al Muharraq
0:4
May 1, 2025 Premier League
Al Muharraq vs Sitra
2:0
Dec 7, 2024 Premier League
Sitra vs Al Muharraq
0:2
May 19, 2024 Premier League
Al Muharraq vs Sitra
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Muharraq 85 / 100
Sitra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Muharraq Sitra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Muharraq Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Muharraq scored in 89% of their last 45 outings.

Sitra has conceded goals in 61% of their last 41 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Al Muharraq has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Muharraq VS Sitra
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Muharraq

(Home)
23 Oct
East Riffa
0 : 1
Al Muharraq
18 Oct
Al Muharraq
3 : 0
Malkia
14 Oct
Al Muharraq
2 : 0
Gol Gohar
09 Oct
Al Khalidiyah
2 : 2
Al Muharraq
15 Sept
Arkadag
1 : 0
Al Muharraq
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Sitra

(Away)
22 Oct
Sitra
2 : 3
Al Riffa
16 Oct
Aali Club
0 : 2
Sitra
11 Oct
Sitra
0 : 2
Al Najma
12 Sept
Sitra
0 : 0
Al Hidd
02 Sept
East Riffa
0 : 0
Sitra
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Riffa 6 4 2 0 15:4 14
2 Al Khalidiyah 6 3 3 0 16:8 12
3 Al Ittifaq 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
4 Al Muharraq 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
5 Sitra 6 2 2 2 7:5 8
6 Al Ahli 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
7 East Riffa 6 2 1 3 5:10 7
8 Aali Club 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
9 Al Najma 6 2 1 3 10:14 7
10 Al Hidd 6 1 3 2 5:5 6
11 Manama Club 6 0 3 3 7:15 3
12 Malkia 6 0 2 4 2:10 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)