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Al Murooj SC vs Khaleej Sirte

Libya Libya

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Murooj SC play Khaleej Sirte in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Murooj SC averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. Khaleej Sirte averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. In past meetings, Al Murooj SC won 2, Khaleej Sirte won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 28, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Al Murooj SC and 1.75 for Khaleej Sirte. This points to a Khaleej Sirte double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Al Murooj SC
17%
Draws
46%
Khaleej Sirte
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Khaleej Sirte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Murooj SC picked up more points recently compared to Khaleej Sirte.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Al Murooj SC Clean Sheet 12%
Khaleej Sirte Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Murooj SC Khaleej Sirte
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 11
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Premier League
Khaleej Sirte vs Al Murooj SC
2:1
Dec 26, 2025 Premier League
Al Murooj SC vs Khaleej Sirte
4:1
May 29, 2025 Premier League
Al Murooj SC vs Khaleej Sirte
3:2
May 10, 2025 Premier League
Khaleej Sirte vs Al Murooj SC
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Murooj SC 36 / 100
Khaleej Sirte 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Murooj SC Khaleej Sirte

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Khaleej Sirte or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Murooj SC attacking → ← attacking Khaleej Sirte

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Murooj SC scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Khaleej Sirte let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Al Murooj SC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Khaleej Sirte lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 44
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Ahly Tripoli18152147:947
2Asswehly18134135:943
3Al Madina1884623:2228
4Al Watan1865714:1823
5Assabah1864812:1822
6Al Malaab El Libby1855815:2120
7Al-Khmes1855819:3120
8Al Qadisiyah18621011:2419
9Al Dahra18351020:2714
10Abu Salim18341113:3013
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Ittihad16133035:942
2Olympic Azzaweya1694325:1131
3Al Ittihad Misurata1676321:1127
4Al-Majd1665514:1323
5Al Shomooa1664624:1922
6Shabab Al-Ghar1646617:2718
7Al Tirsana1637615:2316
8Ittihad Gharyan16241010:2510
9Abi Al Ashar1613129:326
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Military Union16105126:935
2Al Hilal Benghazi16104220:1134
3Al Ahly Benghazi1696123:633
4Al Taawun1675419:1426
5Darnes1655616:1620
6Al Sadaqa1654716:1719
7Al-Anwar1618712:2311
8Al Borouq1624107:2110
9Al-Suqoor16131213:356
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Nasr14112128:735
2Al Akhdar1484216:928
3Al-Afreeki1472529:1823
4Al Tahaddi1456321:1421
5Khaleej Sirte1454525:2219
6Wefaq Ajdabiya1453613:1718
7Al Murooj SC1441916:2413
8Al-Andalus1400141:380