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Al Naft vs Al-Hudod Prediction & H2H Stats

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Kareem W.
41' Event
Yaseen S.

AI Match Summary

Al Naft in this Stars League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Naft.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Al Naft
15%
Draws
40%
Al-Hudod
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Naft

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Naft lately — more wins on the board than Al-Hudod.
  • Al Naft are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Al Naft Clean Sheet 68%
Al-Hudod Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Naft Al-Hudod
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 12 2
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 0.87 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.77 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2025 Stars League
Al Naft vs Al-Hudod
2:0
Oct 28, 2024 Stars League
Al-Hudod vs Al Naft
0:1
Apr 22, 2024 Stars League
Al-Hudod vs Al Naft
1:2
Nov 4, 2023 Stars League
Al Naft vs Al-Hudod
0:2
Mar 18, 2023 Stars League
Al-Hudod vs Al Naft
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Naft Compare

Top Goalscorer Kareem W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yaseen S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Hudod Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Naft 95 / 100
Al-Hudod 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Naft Al-Hudod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Naft Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al-Hudod conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Al Naft remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Al Naft's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al Naft VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Naft

(Home)
18 Sept
Al Mosul
0 : 1
Al Naft
14 Sept
Al Naft
2 : 1
Karbala
09 Sept
Al-Karma
3 : 0
Al Naft
05 Sept
Al Minaa
0 : 3
Al Naft
31 Aug
Al Talaba
0 : 0
Al Naft
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Al-Hudod

(Away)
04 Jul
Karbala
2 : 3
Al-Hudod
25 Jun
Al Shorta
3 : 1
Al-Hudod
18 Jun
Al-Hudod
1 : 0
Naft Missan
14 Jun
Al Kahraba
1 : 2
Al-Hudod
20 May
Al-Hudod
0 : 2
Al Zawraa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shorta 38 26 9 3 75:23 87
2 Al Zawraa 38 23 8 7 56:28 77
3 Zakho 38 20 11 7 57:25 71
4 Al Talaba 38 18 9 11 40:27 63
5 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 17 9 12 51:43 60
6 Al Naft 38 15 14 9 32:27 59
7 Duhok 38 16 9 13 47:41 57
8 Al-Karma 38 15 11 12 43:35 56
9 Newroz 38 14 11 13 46:41 53
10 Al-Qassim 38 13 13 12 43:43 52
11 Naft Missan 38 14 9 15 42:46 51
12 Erbil 38 15 5 18 49:61 50
13 Al Kahraba 38 12 13 13 39:41 49
14 Al Najaf 38 11 13 14 37:36 46
15 Al Karkh 38 12 10 16 40:49 46
16 Al Minaa 38 11 10 17 39:44 43
17 Diyala 38 10 11 17 31:50 41
18 Naft Al-Basra 38 8 9 21 32:57 33
19 Al-Hudod 38 8 2 28 37:79 26
20 Karbala 38 4 10 24 26:66 22
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2024/2025 (Relegation)