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Al Naft vs Al Kahraba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Naft host Al Kahraba in the Stars League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Al Naft have averaged 1 scored and 0.73 conceded recently, against Al Kahraba's 1.07 scored and 1.41 conceded. Head-to-head, Al Naft have won 3 to Al Kahraba's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 17, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 0.69, favoring Al Naft. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Al Naft
15%
Draws
21%
Al Kahraba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Naft

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Naft lately — more wins on the board than Al Kahraba.
  • Model gives Al Naft a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Al Naft Clean Sheet 20%
Al Kahraba Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Naft Al Kahraba
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 12 8
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Naft
1:2
Jan 19, 2026 Stars League
Al Naft vs Al Kahraba
1:0
Jun 19, 2025 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Naft
1:1
Jan 2, 2025 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Naft
0:0
Apr 1, 2024 Stars League
Al Naft vs Al Kahraba
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Naft 76 / 100
Al Kahraba 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Naft Al Kahraba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Naft Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Naft scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Al Kahraba conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Al Naft went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Naft VS Al Kahraba
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Naft

(Home)
17 Oct
Al Naft
2 : 0
Zakho
09 Oct
Al Naft
2 : 0
Diyala
18 Sept
Al Mosul
0 : 1
Al Naft
14 Sept
Al Naft
2 : 1
Karbala
09 Sept
Al Karma
3 : 0
Al Naft
Page 1 of 6

Al Kahraba

(Away)
16 Oct
Al Kahraba
0 : 1
Al Talaba
10 Oct
Al Kahraba
0 : 0
Karbala
19 Sept
Al Shorta
2 : 0
Al Kahraba
13 Sept
Al Kahraba
2 : 1
Al Minaa
07 Sept
Al Zawraa
1 : 0
Al Kahraba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 10 7 3 0 17:7 24
2 Newroz 10 6 3 1 16:4 21
3 Al Naft 10 6 3 1 13:5 21
4 Al Zawraa 10 5 3 2 15:7 18
5 Erbil 10 5 3 2 13:5 18
6 Al Shorta 10 4 5 1 10:5 17
7 Al Golan 10 3 5 2 10:9 14
8 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 10 2 6 2 14:12 12
9 Duhok 10 2 6 2 14:13 12
10 Diyala 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
11 Al Minaa 10 3 3 4 10:12 12
12 Ghaz Al Shamal 10 2 5 3 5:7 11
13 Al Talaba 10 2 5 3 10:14 11
14 Al Mosul 10 3 2 5 10:15 11
15 Zakho 10 2 3 5 7:13 9
16 Al Gharraf 10 2 3 5 7:14 9
17 Al Karkh 10 2 2 6 14:17 8
18 Al Kahraba 10 1 5 4 6:11 8
19 Naft Missan 10 1 5 4 7:14 8
20 Karbala 10 1 3 6 7:17 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)