Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Naft vs Newroz

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Khalaf H.
64' Event
Yaseen S.
87' Event
Komolafe P.

AI Match Summary

Al Naft in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Naft.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Al Naft
33%
Draws
27%
Newroz
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Al Naft

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Newroz have won more games recently than Al Naft.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Al Naft taking it.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Al Naft Clean Sheet 20%
Newroz Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Naft Newroz
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 10 16
Draws 12 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2026 Stars League
Al Naft vs Newroz
2:1
Jan 5, 2026 Stars League
Newroz vs Al Naft
2:0
May 12, 2025 Stars League
Newroz vs Al Naft
0:1
Jan 20, 2025 Stars League
Al Naft vs Newroz
1:1
Jun 19, 2024 Stars League
Al Naft vs Newroz
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Naft Compare

Top Goalscorer Khalaf H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yaseen S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Newroz Compare

Top Goalscorer Komolafe P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Naft 40 / 100
Newroz 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Naft Newroz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newroz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Al Naft remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Al Naft scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Naft VS Newroz
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Naft

(Home)
01 Jun
Al Naft
2 : 1
Newroz
27 May
Al Zawraa
0 : 1
Al Naft
19 May
Al Naft
1 : 1
Duhok
14 May
Al Naft
1 : 1
Al Minaa
10 May
Naft Missan
3 : 0
Al Naft
Page 1 of 7

Newroz

(Away)
01 Jun
Al Naft
2 : 1
Newroz
27 May
Newroz
1 : 1
Al Mosul
20 May
Newroz
2 : 1
Zakho
16 May
Erbil
0 : 1
Newroz
11 May
Al Kahraba
2 : 1
Newroz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)