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Al Nahda vs Al Shabab - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Oman Oman

Professional League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Kenyan M.
28' Event
Al Tamtami A.
45' Event
Kenyan M.

AI Match Summary

The Professional League 2025/2026 game between Al Nahda and Al Shabab finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Shabab.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Al Nahda
35%
Draws
41%
Al Shabab
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Shabab

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Shabab come out ahead of Al Nahda on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Professional League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Al Nahda Clean Sheet 15%
Al Shabab Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nahda Al Shabab
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 14 17
Draws 10 5
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.15 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Nahda
2:3
Aug 24, 2026 FA Cup
Al Shabab vs Al Nahda
1:1
May 23, 2026 Professional League
Al Nahda vs Al Shabab
2:3
Feb 25, 2026 Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Nahda
3:1
Oct 6, 2025 FA Cup
Al Nahda vs Al Shabab
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Nahda Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Tamtami A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Rawahi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Al Shabab Compare

Top Goalscorer Kenyan M.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nahda 35 / 100
Al Shabab 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nahda Al Shabab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Shabab Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Al Nahda has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Al Nahda scored in 76% of their last 34 outings.

Al Shabab has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Nahda VS Al Shabab
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nahda

(Home)
02 Oct
Al Nahda
2 : 1
Sohar
25 Sept
Ibri
0 : 0
Al Nahda
21 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Saham
16 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Taawon
10 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Seeb
Page 1 of 7

Al Shabab

(Away)
02 Oct
Al Shabab
2 : 1
Saham
21 Sept
Al Msnaa
0 : 1
Al Shabab
11 Sept
Oman Club
0 : 2
Al Shabab
05 Sept
Al Shabab
2 : 3
Al Nahda
31 Aug
Sur Club
2 : 3
Al Shabab
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Seeb 26 21 4 1 59:14 67
2 Al Shabab 26 17 3 6 51:27 54
3 Al Nasr 26 16 5 5 35:20 53
4 Al Nahda 26 13 5 8 31:23 44
5 Bahla 26 12 4 10 39:32 40
6 Oman Club 26 11 6 9 27:28 39
7 Sohar 26 10 8 8 35:28 38
8 Sur Club 26 8 8 10 34:37 32
9 Dhofar 26 7 6 13 23:30 27
10 Al Samail 26 6 8 12 25:39 26
11 Saham 26 7 5 14 22:44 26
12 Ibri 26 7 2 17 27:52 23
13 Al Khaboora 26 4 10 12 23:35 22
14 Al Rustaq 26 3 6 17 24:46 15
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